NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	78		Excitement	5.1 [770]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +13.6%
Phoenix Suns	94		Comeback	1.4 [498]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -22.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	14	45%	-0.02	4	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	14	30%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	9	44%	-0.03	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	15	43%	-0.09	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	9	95%	0.14	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	10	68%	0.09	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	10	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	13	52%	0.05	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	2	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
George McCloud	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.01	-0.08	10	35%	-0.01	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.20	-0.05	-0.03	12	17%	-0.16	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	26.6	15.5	24.3	2.5	27.6	121.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +46.1%

ATL -11.1%

ATL -0.5%

PHX +12.9%

PHX +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHX	NBA	ATL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	15.6	85.7	103.3	102.5
season	16.1	15.0		105.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	16.0		100.0	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.5	17.9	14.9	14.8	16.0
PHX	13.5	16.4	16.4	16.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-12	8	14.2	16.0	-1.80	12.5	15.8	-3.33
Chris Crawford	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-12	8	12.4	16.3	-3.83	14.0	15.8	-1.84
Chucky Brown	37	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-10	4	15.4	16.4	-0.95	16.2	15.3	0.86
Tyrone Corbin	53	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-11	6	16.2	15.7	0.49	15.0	16.6	-1.54
Greg Anderson	44	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-7	-2	16.0	15.9	0.11	15.8	15.6	0.28
Dikembe Mutombo	55	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-13	10	15.6	16.5	-0.93	15.8	15.5	0.31
Eldridge Recasner	47	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	15.8	16.1	-0.28	16.4	15.0	1.39
Steven Smith	69	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-13	10	16.3	14.8	1.58	15.7	15.7	0.04
Christian Laettner	73	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.01	-18	2	-20	16.3	14.6	1.69	15.8	15.2	0.64
Mookie Blaylock	66	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.00	-19	3	-22	16.2	15.4	0.84	15.5	16.2	-0.72

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	46	45	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.04	16	0	16	16.1	15.2	0.86	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Jason Kidd	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	4	8	15.5	16.4	-0.91	16.0	15.8	0.27
Antonio McDyess	62	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.09	18	-2	20	15.1	17.0	-1.88	15.9	16.0	-0.10
George McCloud	59	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	4	8	15.0	16.9	-1.89	15.7	16.5	-0.81
Danny Manning	52	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	11	-6	16.9	14.1	2.85	15.8	16.2	-0.46
Clifford Robinson	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	9	-2	17.1	14.2	2.93	16.2	15.7	0.51
Hot Rod Williams	45	44	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	9	-2	15.0	16.4	-1.39	16.1	15.8	0.28
Mark Bryant	28	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	14	-12	15.7	15.7	0.10	15.2	16.3	-1.03
Brooks Thompson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	12	-8	12.3	15.8	-3.46	16.0	16.0	0.03
Marko Milic	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	12	-8	12.3	15.8	-3.46	16.0	16.0	0.03
Cedric Ceballos	44	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	19	-22	15.2	16.1	-0.84	16.7	15.2	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NYK 74, SAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAL 85, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%