inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 74 Excitement4.2 [973] MVPHedo Turkoglu (SAS): +8.4%
San Antonio Spurs 86 Comeback1.5 [927] LVPKeith Van Horn (NYK): -13.2%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Othella Harrington0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.00460%0.0100.002100%0.01
Frank Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.02956%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Charlie Ward-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.010.03856%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo-0.030,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00837%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Sweetney-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0110%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Michael Doleac-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.00844%-0.002-0.042100%0.01
Howard Eisley-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.02533%-0.042-0.032100%0.00
Allan Houston-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.021647%-0.005-0.11887%0.01
Keith Van Horn-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.030.011150%-0.045-0.092100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.01878%0.132-0.042100%0.01
Shane Heal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01669%0.0400.00475%-0.01
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02550%0.0200.002100%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01350%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.01-0.021138%-0.021-0.024100%0.02
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.010.04955%-0.021-0.02450%-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.02575%0.054-0.106100%0.03
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.01518%-0.071-0.0010%-0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.12-0.01-0.05954%0.015-0.091050%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.734.116.528.22.030.4137.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +31.3%
SAS +11.5%
SAS +5.2%
SAS +3.9%
NYK -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKSASNBANYKSASNBA
this game17.215.915.786.097.7100.5
season15.515.998.6100.1
opponent15.815.892.7100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK15.018.020.116.117.2
SAS15.014.116.918.115.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Frank Williams220.00-0.500.50-0.062-141612.517.3-4.7915.516.0-0.45
Othella Harrington2324-0.02-0.480.47-0.103-151820.016.13.9216.015.90.14
Michael Sweetney1514-0.12-0.380.260.14-9-3-617.117.2-0.0515.216.1-0.87
Kurt Thomas3336-0.12-0.380.26-0.151-131417.217.10.1117.714.73.06
Clar. Weatherspoon1212-0.20-0.290.090.09-10-2-816.517.3-0.7812.116.6-4.47
Dikembe Mutombo4243-0.21-0.290.09-0.12-3-9617.317.10.1715.016.8-1.80
Charlie Ward5758-0.22-0.280.06-0.282-141616.917.7-0.8316.614.81.79
Shandon Anderson2425-0.23-0.270.050.01-8-4-416.217.6-1.4017.315.41.87
Howard Eisley2930-0.28-0.22-0.060.13-142-1617.716.90.8314.816.6-1.79
Michael Doleac3938-0.29-0.21-0.090.03-11-1-1017.317.10.2015.016.7-1.66
Allan Houston7476-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.17-5-7217.018.1-1.0616.214.12.15
Keith Van Horn8082-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.26-8-4-416.921.0-4.1116.114.31.73

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan72700.54-0.040.570.1015-31815.717.1-1.4417.515.91.52
Hedo Turkoglu40390.410.090.310.051201214.916.8-1.9116.617.6-0.98
Shane Heal29310.390.110.29-0.1017-52215.216.3-1.1017.517.00.58
Manu Ginobili63620.360.140.210.0993615.716.6-0.9716.718.3-1.55
Malik Rose29290.290.210.080.0684414.116.8-2.7418.216.61.61
Robert Horry19170.160.34-0.190.0448-418.015.42.6214.817.8-2.93
Bruce Bowen59570.140.36-0.220.11111-1016.714.52.1817.915.72.19
Jason Hart59550.110.39-0.290.25-517-2216.315.21.1017.017.5-0.58
Ron Mercer14140.100.40-0.300.04210-817.115.71.4317.617.10.47
Rasho Nesterovic56560.020.48-0.470.10-315-1816.514.91.6317.017.5-0.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 75, UTA 970.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.4%
CLE 77, TOR 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
ORL 98, OKC 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.66,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,194.9%