inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 75 Excitement4.4 [902] MVPBryon Russell (UTA): +9.3%
Utah Jazz 97 Comeback1.6 [1245] LVPGreg Foster (UTA): -13.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Battie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johnny Newman-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.021050%0.021-0.03475%0.00
Dean Garrett-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00543%-0.0200.004100%0.02
Joe Wolf-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Danny Fortson-0.020,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.01-0.051447%0.032-0.05887%0.02
Bryant Stith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02637%-0.0200.004100%0.02
Anthony Goldwire-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.02-0.03725%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Cory Alexander-0.090,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.00828%-0.071-0.022100%0.01
Bobby Jackson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.031118%-0.0900.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.040.021747%-0.043-0.08250%-0.02

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.01579%0.0900.004100%0.01
Jeff Hornacek0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.01779%0.092-0.035100%0.02
Chris Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00673%0.071-0.02367%0.00
John Stockton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00467%0.0400.001100%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.001754%0.032-0.04757%-0.03
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00860%0.042-0.05450%-0.01
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01467%0.022-0.0410%-0.01
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01262%0.022-0.05475%0.00
Adam Keefe0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.00725%-0.071-0.032100%0.01
Greg Foster0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.020.01542%-0.054-0.09250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game50.22.527.216.427.51.724.2149.7
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +59.9%
DEN -5.9%
UTA +0.4%
DEN -8.5%
UTA +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENUTANBADENUTANBA
this game18.014.715.686.2109.0102.5
season16.215.996.7108.1
opponent15.915.2102.1109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.318.517.420.218.0
UTA13.814.215.415.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryant Stith22220.09-0.590.670.032-242619.717.52.1916.514.12.37
Joe Wolf56-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-212017.018.1-1.1119.814.35.48
Danny Fortson6667-0.19-0.310.110.16-12-10-217.619.3-1.7014.814.50.23
Tony Battie79-0.19-0.310.110.19-13-9-419.117.91.1917.814.43.40
Bobby Jackson3736-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.09-6-161019.517.02.5515.114.50.61
Cory Alexander5961-0.30-0.20-0.100.26-19-3-1617.219.7-2.5114.914.20.68
LaPhonso Ellis7272-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-11-11017.918.9-1.0714.217.1-2.96
Anthony Goldwire6063-0.38-0.12-0.270.23-21-1-2017.220.0-2.7814.116.3-2.24
Dean Garrett5558-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.06-12-10-217.918.2-0.2714.215.7-1.52
Johnny Newman5251-0.47-0.03-0.440.03-17-5-1219.116.52.5114.415.1-0.67

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Karl Malone65640.430.070.35-0.131931613.916.8-2.8917.419.7-2.30
Greg Ostertag41420.390.110.29-0.081661015.414.11.2919.616.63.09
Bryon Russell44440.370.130.24-0.191931614.814.70.1119.017.02.02
Shandon Anderson42420.260.240.03-0.18157814.914.50.4019.416.82.53
John Stockton49470.260.240.02-0.031012-214.914.50.3118.417.60.83
Howard Eisley33330.240.26-0.020.00814-614.314.9-0.6117.818.2-0.32
Jeff Hornacek47450.240.26-0.030.03715-814.514.9-0.4016.819.4-2.53
Adam Keefe45430.130.37-0.240.04319-1614.714.8-0.1117.019.0-2.02
Greg Foster46430.100.40-0.310.10022-2214.215.3-1.1316.319.8-3.49
Chris Morris26250.080.42-0.33-0.18913-416.514.02.5720.017.32.69
Jacque Vaughn770.000.50-0.50-0.12418-1415.614.60.9316.418.2-1.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 74, SAS 860.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.4%
UTA 97, CHI 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
SAC 89, SAS 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,194.9%