inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 77 Excitement4.5 [721] MVPAndrea Bargnani (TOR): +19.6%
Toronto Raptors 92 Comeback1.4 [756] LVPKyrie Irving (CLE): -16.3%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Omri Casspi0.040,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00862%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Parker0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.02657%0.0300.002100%0.01
Luke Harangody0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mychel Thompson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ramon Sessions-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00744%0.001-0.012100%0.01
Daniel Gibson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03825%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ryan Hollins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01450%0.001-0.024100%0.02
Tristan Thompson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.0258%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Antawn Jamison-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.04-0.011945%-0.032-0.04450%-0.02
Anderson Varejao-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.000.00425%-0.052-0.04475%-0.01
Alonzo Gee-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.01517%-0.052-0.042100%0.01
Kyrie Irving-0.160,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.030.051337%-0.102-0.066100%0.02

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.220.040.061679%0.242-0.05786%0.02
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.140.080.051866%0.201-0.032100%0.01
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.020.02881%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Gary Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01437%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.03757%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.01650%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.0360%-0.0700.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.150.00-0.05820%-0.063-0.04450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.91.831.015.826.32.527.2125.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +62.6%
CLE -2.8%
CLE -14.2%
TOR +4.5%
CLE -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLETORNBACLETORNBA
this game15.216.915.687.5101.1102.8
season15.516.599.598.9
opponent15.215.6102.9107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE15.017.514.314.215.2
TOR14.416.019.118.516.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Harangody440.00-0.500.50-0.062-171914.515.3-0.7719.516.82.71
Mychel Thompson440.00-0.500.50-0.062-171914.515.3-0.7719.516.82.71
Omri Casspi4545-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-141314.416.1-1.6317.016.80.13
Kyrie Irving4847-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-131114.715.9-1.2117.816.01.85
Anthony Parker3938-0.17-0.330.17-0.05-4-11715.814.80.9517.216.70.42
Tristan Thompson2930-0.20-0.300.11-0.05-5-10516.614.62.0616.617.1-0.52
Anderson Varejao5759-0.23-0.270.03-0.09-5-10514.616.5-1.8716.916.90.06
Ryan Hollins3132-0.27-0.23-0.030.03-10-5-516.514.61.8716.916.9-0.06
Antawn Jamison5961-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.01-10-5-514.616.6-2.0617.116.60.52
Daniel Gibson4549-0.33-0.17-0.170.05-13-2-1114.815.7-0.8116.517.4-0.87
Ramon Sessions4044-0.37-0.13-0.250.01-13-2-1115.914.71.2116.017.8-1.85
Alonzo Gee3942-0.43-0.07-0.370.04-161-1716.214.41.7816.617.2-0.59

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrea Bargnani66650.52-0.020.55-0.1222-72916.418.4-2.0015.215.5-0.32
James Johnson52480.440.060.380.09123917.116.60.4714.815.8-1.03
DeMar DeRozan71690.350.140.21-0.031321116.817.4-0.6914.816.9-2.11
Anthony Carter22210.260.240.020.0678-115.617.3-1.7414.915.3-0.44
Jose Calderon69670.240.26-0.020.0087117.315.61.7415.314.90.44
Jamaal Magloire21190.200.30-0.100.11312-918.016.61.4815.515.20.37
Ed Davis42400.160.34-0.180.04411-717.216.70.4714.415.9-1.54
Rasual Butler31310.130.37-0.25-0.0569-316.317.2-0.8916.014.81.13
Amir Johnson51500.120.38-0.260.03312-916.917.0-0.1116.014.21.86
Leandro Barbosa26260.080.42-0.340.11-116-1717.416.70.6616.314.81.52
Gary Forbes440.000.50-0.500.06-217-1919.516.82.7114.515.3-0.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 97, CHI 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
MIL 77, DET 910.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.2%
SAS 83, PHI 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%