NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	83		Excitement	4.4 [921]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (PHI): +13.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	100		Comeback	1.5 [689]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -13.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.00	16	66%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Dial	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	21	60%	0.07	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Samaki Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	17	44%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	10	15%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	11	38%	-0.07	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	11	77%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	29	62%	0.12	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	57%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	0.00	0.07	5	70%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	9	37%	-0.00	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	27.2	15.7	26.8	1.6	25.5	122.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.6%

PHI +13.3%

PHI +7.9%

SAS -8.0%

SAS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	15.5	87.4	104.2	100.9
season	15.9	15.7		103.4	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.5		97.1	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.7	15.0	15.6	15.7	15.5
PHI	13.1	14.4	14.4	17.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Dial	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-13	9	14.8	15.6	-0.77	17.0	14.3	2.68
Steve Kerr	14	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-11	5	14.4	15.7	-1.35	13.4	14.9	-1.49
Ira Newble	23	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-9	1	14.5	15.8	-1.30	12.8	15.2	-2.44
Samaki Walker	16	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-11	5	15.9	15.4	0.44	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Tim Duncan	76	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-7	-3	15.7	14.6	1.09	15.1	13.1	2.00
Terry Porter	42	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-5	-7	16.0	15.1	0.84	15.5	13.9	1.59
David Robinson	68	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-10	3	15.6	15.4	0.19	14.7	14.7	-0.02
Danny Ferry	65	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-8	-1	15.2	16.2	-1.06	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Antonio Daniels	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-5	-7	15.7	14.7	0.96	14.1	16.9	-2.83
Derek Anderson	84	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-6	-5	15.6	14.8	0.78	15.0	12.2	2.85

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	51	51	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	2	13	14.2	15.1	-0.90	15.8	15.2	0.64
Allen Iverson	86	85	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	4	9	14.5	16.2	-1.72	15.6	14.3	1.35
Kevin Ollie	33	34	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.01	13	4	9	14.2	14.9	-0.68	15.8	15.3	0.50
Theo Ratliff	55	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	5	7	14.9	14.4	0.46	16.5	14.1	2.42
George Lynch	55	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	10	-3	15.2	13.9	1.32	15.7	15.2	0.52
Aaron McKie	71	69	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	10	-3	15.0	13.6	1.37	15.3	16.1	-0.84
Todd MacCulloch	36	34	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	13	-9	14.1	15.0	-0.96	14.4	16.1	-1.75
Rodney Buford	35	32	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.10	9	8	1	15.4	14.2	1.13	15.7	15.4	0.32
Tyrone Hill	49	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	15	-13	14.6	14.7	-0.05	15.7	15.3	0.37
Nazr Mohammed	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	12.7	14.7	-2.05	8.0	15.7	-7.75
Pepe Sanchez	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	12.7	14.7	-2.05	8.0	15.7	-7.75
Jumaine Jones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	12.7	14.7	-2.05	8.0	15.7	-7.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.8%
LAC 88, SEA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.6,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%
CHI 90, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.73,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.8%