NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	88		Excitement	4.6 [880]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (SEA): +14.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	95		Comeback	1.4 [827]		LVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): -13.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Quinton Ross	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Paul Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	16	49%	0.02	4	-0.08	7	71%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	0.06	17	53%	0.00	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.04	14	23%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	8	89%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.03	-0.04	14	61%	0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	12	62%	0.14	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.07	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	7	31%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.3	27.7	15.4	27.3	2.5	39.2	140.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +58.5%

LAC -4.9%

SEA +1.5%

LAC -7.4%

SEA +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	15.4	88.0	93.1	105.7
season	15.6	14.5		99.5	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.1		107.9	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.6	14.5	16.6	13.5	14.5
SEA	13.5	12.7	13.4	16.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Davis	6	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.16	6	-13	19	13.0	14.6	-1.64	20.0	13.5	6.46
Aaron Williams	6	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	-2	-3	16.8	14.4	2.44	12.7	14.1	-1.36
Ruben Patterson	10	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-2	-3	15.1	14.5	0.62	13.8	14.0	-0.18
Cuttino Mobley	62	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-12	17	13.4	16.3	-2.91	14.1	13.7	0.38
Al Thornton	31	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	2	-11	14.8	14.4	0.39	13.5	14.2	-0.62
Dan Dickau	39	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-7	7	13.6	15.1	-1.56	15.1	13.2	1.90
Brevin Knight	61	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	0	-7	15.1	13.6	1.56	13.2	15.1	-1.90
Corey Maggette	79	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-10	13	14.3	15.5	-1.19	13.9	14.3	-0.47
Chris Kaman	87	88	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-9	11	14.5	14.8	-0.35	14.3	11.7	2.63
Quinton Ross	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	3	-13	15.7	13.6	2.13	14.3	13.7	0.59
Tim Thomas	74	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	8	-23	14.8	13.7	1.09	13.1	16.6	-3.47

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	76	73	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	13.8	14.4	-0.54	14.7	14.1	0.54
Kevin Durant	74	72	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	4	-1	14.0	13.9	0.07	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Damien Wilkins	64	62	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	3	1	13.7	14.4	-0.62	15.4	13.2	2.14
Wally Szczerbiak	53	51	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.22	2	5	-3	14.8	13.1	1.77	13.7	15.4	-1.70
Mickael Gelabale	25	24	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	-1	9	13.5	14.1	-0.66	14.8	14.5	0.33
Earl Watson	78	77	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	8	-9	14.0	13.8	0.19	14.3	15.4	-1.11
Kurt Thomas	56	55	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	9	-11	14.8	13.0	1.86	14.7	14.4	0.34
Johan Petro	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	1	5	13.7	14.1	-0.30	15.1	14.4	0.71
Jeff Green	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	4	-1	12.9	14.5	-1.57	13.3	15.1	-1.81
Chris Wilcox	28	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.10	7	0	7	13.3	14.2	-0.96	15.0	14.3	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.6,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 83, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
OKC 90, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIA 80, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%