NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	90		Excitement	4.8 [882]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): +20.0%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	1.1 [963]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -19.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.01	0.06	12	69%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.05	18	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	14	100%	0.03
Byron Mullens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	9	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
James Harden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	12	39%	-0.03	1	-0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Eric Maynor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	4	37%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	0.00	18	41%	-0.04	6	-0.16	1	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.05	-0.00	21	63%	0.20	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.04	11	57%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	16	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.04	-0.08	13	37%	-0.02	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	3.3	32.4	15.7	30.5	2.6	35.4	146.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +48.3%

OKC -14.1%

CHI +15.2%

CHI +5.3%

OKC -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHI	NBA	OKC	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	15.3	15.5	91.8	104.2	105.7
season	15.0	15.7		108.8	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.6		99.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.8	16.9	14.3	12.3	14.5
CHI	14.6	15.1	14.5	17.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Byron Mullens	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	13.0	14.5	-1.54	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Nenad Krstic	46	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.32	10	-19	29	12.5	16.2	-3.71	15.6	15.1	0.42
Thabo Sefolosha	56	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.35	7	-16	23	13.1	16.5	-3.40	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Eric Maynor	35	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-2	-5	14.9	14.3	0.58	15.6	15.2	0.42
Jeff Green	68	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-12	15	14.5	14.6	-0.13	15.9	14.0	1.91
Kevin Durant	67	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.27	2	-11	13	14.3	15.0	-0.76	15.5	15.1	0.39
Serge Ibaka	39	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	4	-17	15.7	13.7	2.05	14.7	15.7	-1.01
James Harden	53	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	10	-29	15.9	12.8	3.12	15.9	14.7	1.11
Nick Collison	50	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	10	-29	16.4	12.6	3.82	15.2	15.5	-0.35
Russell Westbrook	74	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	0	-9	14.0	16.0	-2.03	14.7	17.4	-2.70

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	77	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-4	17	14.9	17.3	-2.45	14.1	16.6	-2.59
Luol Deng	83	85	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-4	17	14.9	18.2	-3.23	14.0	17.8	-3.85
Carlos Boozer	74	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-4	17	14.9	16.8	-1.82	13.7	17.4	-3.65
Joakim Noah	41	44	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	4	1	15.4	15.3	0.12	14.2	14.8	-0.64
Keith Bogans	33	32	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	5	-1	15.5	15.3	0.21	14.5	14.5	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	28	31	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	4	1	15.0	15.5	-0.49	15.9	13.9	2.08
Taj Gibson	50	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	9	-9	15.3	15.4	-0.02	14.9	14.0	0.92
Kyle Korver	39	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	9	-9	16.1	14.8	1.24	15.6	13.7	1.93
Omer Asik	25	23	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	9	-9	16.4	15.0	1.48	16.8	13.8	3.03
CJ Watson	25	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.22	-8	17	-25	17.2	14.7	2.51	14.1	14.7	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 75, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ORL 69, PHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHX 77, LAL 105	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%