NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	69		Excitement	4.1 [778]		MVP	Tony Battie (PHI): +6.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	74		Comeback	1.1 [879]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -17.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Von Wafer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	13	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	0.05	13	47%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.13,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	17	36%	-0.08	2	-0.05	13	38%	-0.08
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	9	15%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	60%	0.04	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	13	38%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	13	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	9	33%	-0.04
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.5	29.4	15.4	23.6	2.7	35.2	129.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.1%

PHI +3.6%

ORL -6.6%

PHI +22.8%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	17.5	15.6	80.2	86.0	102.8
season	16.2	15.6		102.8	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.8		97.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.0	17.4	18.0	12.8	16.0
PHI	17.4	17.7	17.1	17.8	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	22	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-3	1	15.4	16.2	-0.82	20.5	16.5	3.95
Von Wafer	33	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-15	25	13.7	17.4	-3.65	17.7	17.4	0.35
Glen Davis	38	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.38	9	-14	23	14.3	17.3	-2.93	17.6	17.5	0.12
Quentin Richardson	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-8	11	15.1	16.7	-1.55	18.2	16.9	1.38
Earl Clark	23	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	5	-15	15.8	16.0	-0.21	17.9	17.4	0.47
Ryan Anderson	50	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-10	15	15.5	16.6	-1.04	16.6	18.7	-2.09
Hedo Turkoglu	44	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	5	-15	17.1	14.8	2.28	17.6	17.4	0.16
JJ Redick	55	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	8	-21	17.0	14.1	2.94	16.8	18.8	-2.02
Chris Duhon	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	16.2	15.4	0.82	16.5	20.5	-3.95
Dwight Howard	61	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	9	-23	17.4	12.5	4.93	18.0	16.0	2.00

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	74	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-7	19	17.1	20.3	-3.28	16.1	15.1	0.99
Jodie Meeks	45	45	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	-3	11	15.4	19.8	-4.38	16.2	15.7	0.51
Tony Battie	30	31	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-3	11	17.3	17.6	-0.33	16.3	15.8	0.54
Elton Brand	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	2	1	17.8	17.1	0.73	16.6	14.9	1.68
Jrue Holiday	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	1	3	17.5	17.5	0.02	17.0	14.4	2.59
Lavoy Allen	28	28	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	-2	9	19.9	16.4	3.53	16.4	15.8	0.67
Thaddeus Young	56	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	8	-11	17.6	17.3	0.33	15.8	16.3	-0.54
Louis Williams	46	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	9	-13	18.2	16.7	1.56	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Evan Turner	46	45	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.37	-10	15	-25	17.8	17.2	0.58	14.2	17.9	-3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CHH 79, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.9%
ORL 95, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%