inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 79 Excitement4.5 [904] MVPMalik Rose (SAS): +12.6%
San Antonio Spurs 95 Comeback1.2 [1102] LVPAvery Johnson (SAS): -12.1%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Hood0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Hawkins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Todd Fuller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Coleman-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.011152%-0.0000.003100%0.01
Baron Davis-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02350%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Eddie Robinson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0230%-0.0400.0000%0.00
David Wesley-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01950%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.070,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.021440%-0.052-0.022100%0.01
Brad Miller-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01835%-0.051-0.03475%0.00
Anthony Mason-0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.01-0.01531%-0.071-0.02650%-0.02
Bobby Phills-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.02-0.050.031445%-0.071-0.0310%-0.02
Eddie Jones-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.030.021537%-0.111-0.012100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.010.016100%0.1300.002100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.021754%0.072-0.04786%0.02
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerome Kersey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.080.000.094100%-0.0000.0000%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.021355%0.022-0.04367%-0.01
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.00-0.061030%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.010.04950%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Mario Elie0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.01667%0.043-0.0800%0.00
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02625%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.050.01837%-0.042-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.726.116.422.52.329.5123.6
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +51.6%
CHH -2.0%
SAS +2.1%
CHH -2.7%
SAS +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHSASNBACHHSASNBA
this game16.015.215.285.9102.2101.7
season14.915.5101.5101.6
opponent15.415.195.999.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH15.416.517.414.716.0
SAS14.612.916.916.615.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Hood560.00-0.500.500.000-16169.616.3-6.7413.315.3-1.95
Michael Hawkins560.00-0.500.500.000-16169.616.3-6.7413.315.3-1.95
Todd Fuller560.00-0.500.500.000-16169.616.3-6.7413.315.3-1.95
Eddie Robinson2524-0.04-0.460.41-0.040-161614.916.4-1.5116.014.91.19
Brad Miller3031-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-151413.917.0-3.0814.215.6-1.40
Baron Davis3938-0.20-0.300.110.01-7-9215.416.4-1.0314.915.3-0.45
Derrick Coleman3737-0.22-0.280.07-0.04-6-10417.415.12.3014.415.7-1.30
Elden Campbell6564-0.26-0.24-0.030.00-9-7-216.215.40.8615.614.31.29
David Wesley5758-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-13-3-1016.914.52.4615.414.70.72
Anthony Mason6061-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.00-14-2-1216.514.91.6015.015.4-0.42
Bobby Phills6365-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.00-15-1-1416.215.50.6715.614.21.41
Eddie Jones6969-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.03-15-1-1416.614.22.4115.414.31.12

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Elie59580.480.020.47-0.0217-11814.715.9-1.1417.313.73.60
Avery Johnson61610.460.040.43-0.0317-11815.614.41.1516.515.01.48
Tim Duncan71720.410.090.32-0.031511415.215.10.0316.514.12.40
David Robinson58570.290.210.080.0397215.814.21.5915.916.1-0.27
Jerome Kersey30280.280.220.070.0297215.615.00.6516.315.80.49
Terry Porter48480.160.34-0.18-0.02610-415.115.2-0.1615.716.2-0.52
Malik Rose30310.150.35-0.210.03412-814.315.6-1.2716.016.0-0.02
Samaki Walker37340.130.37-0.230.05313-1014.115.9-1.7514.916.6-1.69
Jaren Jackson52530.110.39-0.280.08115-1415.414.80.5915.716.4-0.71
Steve Kerr13130.020.48-0.460.05-117-1816.514.91.6011.916.6-4.72
Antonio Daniels650.000.50-0.500.00016-1613.315.3-1.959.616.3-6.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 69, PHI 740.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
TOR 87, BOS 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,195.9%
SAS 93, OKC 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,195.8%