NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	5.3 [771]		MVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): +17.8%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	1.2 [594]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -24.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.02	-0.01	8	89%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Darrick Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.19	-0.01	-0.06	0.13	18	60%	0.01	8	-0.21	11	91%	0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.20	-0.05	-0.01	19	33%	-0.10	5	-0.14	8	62%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	14	71%	0.15	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	6	80%	0.12	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	20	50%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Allan Ray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	17	45%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	33.8	15.8	23.3	2.4	38.5	139.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +27.2%

TOR -4.5%

BOS +11.6%

BOS +12.2%

BOS +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.6	15.4	87.0	96.0	104.5
season	15.2	15.5		104.7	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.5	13.3	15.7	13.0	14.3
BOS	16.5	13.8	15.6	13.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	15	14	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-8	8	13.7	14.4	-0.75	13.1	14.9	-1.75
Darrick Martin	3	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-6	4	8.3	14.5	-6.15	0.3	15.1	-14.76
Kris Humphries	14	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-5	2	13.6	14.4	-0.76	16.5	14.4	2.09
Rasho Nesterovic	35	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-5	2	15.4	13.7	1.69	14.9	14.5	0.41
Jose Calderon	55	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-6	4	13.2	15.6	-2.40	14.3	15.0	-0.75
Joey Graham	56	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-5	2	13.6	15.2	-1.53	13.8	15.7	-1.90
Chris Bosh	91	91	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-6	4	14.4	13.7	0.70	14.7	14.4	0.30
T.J. Ford	68	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-5	2	14.7	13.5	1.22	14.8	14.3	0.45
Jorge Garbajosa	77	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	6	-20	15.2	11.3	3.83	15.5	11.9	3.56
Anthony Parker	86	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	0	-8	14.2	14.6	-0.40	14.9	13.1	1.75

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	89	91	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-1	10	14.8	13.7	1.05	14.2	15.6	-1.38
Rajon Rondo	75	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-3	14	14.8	14.3	0.47	13.8	15.7	-1.89
Al Jefferson	72	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-1	10	15.4	12.7	2.62	14.4	14.1	0.21
Paul Pierce	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	0	8	15.1	13.0	2.09	14.4	14.0	0.34
Kendrick Perkins	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	0	8	15.9	13.3	2.55	15.1	13.5	1.59
Ryan Gomes	36	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	9	-10	14.8	14.6	0.25	15.1	13.8	1.24
Sebastian Telfair	28	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	7	-6	12.5	15.5	-3.04	14.4	14.3	0.16
Leon Powe	27	27	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	11	-14	15.0	14.5	0.49	15.1	14.0	1.11
Gerald Green	39	39	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	12.2	16.2	-4.03	13.2	15.0	-1.79
Allan Ray	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.5	14.9	-14.44	7.0	14.4	-7.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 79, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.9%
UTA 92, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.6%
GSW 93, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%