NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	4.8 [847]		MVP	Wesley Person (MEM): +15.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	103		Comeback	1.1 [505]		LVP	Mike Batiste (MEM): -8.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.02	16	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	2	17%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
John Amaechi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	16	55%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	13	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.03	-0.02	17	71%	0.21	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	12	68%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	13	60%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	11	56%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	29.3	15.4	23.5	2.4	35.5	134.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +45.7%

MEM +6.7%

UTA -6.3%

MEM +1.0%

MEM +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.5	102.2	112.0	101.6
season	16.3	15.3		103.1	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.8	15.9	17.7	14.6	16.5
MEM	13.0	14.1	16.6	17.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-8	5	13.3	16.9	-3.58	14.2	15.3	-1.10
John Amaechi	15	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-10	9	17.1	16.4	0.71	13.7	15.5	-1.73
Mark Jackson	34	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-12	13	15.5	17.1	-1.52	14.2	15.8	-1.54
Andrei Kirilenko	56	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-11	11	15.9	17.5	-1.64	15.7	14.3	1.42
Greg Ostertag	42	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-7	3	16.1	16.8	-0.63	15.9	14.5	1.40
Tony Massenburg	34	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.14	-3	-8	5	16.6	16.4	0.22	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Calbert Cheaney	60	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	1	-13	16.8	15.8	0.97	15.0	15.5	-0.48
John Stockton	56	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.06	-12	1	-13	17.1	15.5	1.52	15.8	14.2	1.54
Matt Harpring	64	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-1	-9	16.7	15.9	0.83	14.9	15.9	-1.05
Karl Malone	79	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	0	-11	16.9	13.5	3.34	15.2	14.8	0.42

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-2	15	15.2	14.9	0.30	16.6	15.6	0.96
Pau Gasol	77	74	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	4	3	15.1	15.7	-0.66	16.9	14.7	2.10
Shane Battier	67	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	3	5	14.9	15.9	-1.01	16.8	15.6	1.22
Lorenzen Wright	65	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	4	3	14.8	16.0	-1.15	16.9	15.2	1.75
Jason Williams	70	69	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	8	-5	15.6	13.9	1.74	16.7	15.8	0.93
Stromile Swift	42	39	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	3	5	15.9	14.6	1.32	15.0	17.6	-2.61
Mike Batiste	32	30	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	7	-3	14.4	15.6	-1.19	15.8	16.8	-0.97
Earl Watson	28	26	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	6	-1	15.6	15.0	0.56	15.5	16.9	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 81, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%
TOR 87, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.6%
CHH 79, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.6%