NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	81		Excitement	5.1 [803]		MVP	Steve Nash (LAL): +12.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	90		Comeback	1.3 [954]		LVP	Marco Belinelli (CHI): -16.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.03	-0.04	19	47%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marquis Teague	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	12	64%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	8	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	16	33%	-0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	16	33%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.04	0.03	15	37%	-0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	9	76%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	13	42%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.02	16	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	14	48%	-0.03	3	-0.05	5	0%	-0.08
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	16	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.8	30.0	18.7	29.5	2.0	31.2	140.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.2%

CHI -8.8%

LAL +15.3%

CHI -1.5%

CHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAL	NBA	CHI	LAL	NBA
this game	16.7	16.2	15.4	94.2	101.1	104.1
season	16.6	14.9		101.7	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.2		105.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.2	14.7	17.2	18.1	16.7
LAL	14.1	14.7	17.1	19.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Teague	6	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-8	7	18.0	16.6	1.40	13.3	16.4	-3.10
Nazr Mohammed	19	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-8	7	14.9	17.2	-2.25	13.9	16.9	-2.96
Jimmy Butler	43	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-11	13	16.4	17.0	-0.56	16.3	16.2	0.09
Carlos Boozer	72	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	2	-13	16.7	16.7	-0.02	15.9	18.1	-2.17
Nate Robinson	77	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	16.6	17.7	-1.08	16.3	15.4	0.93
Joakim Noah	68	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-4	-1	17.2	14.7	2.50	16.9	13.9	2.96
Marco Belinelli	76	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	1	-11	16.6	17.4	-0.79	16.4	14.9	1.49
Luol Deng	69	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	4	-17	17.0	15.6	1.31	16.5	15.2	1.32

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	72	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-7	23	16.4	15.4	1.08	16.9	15.7	1.24
Steve Nash	63	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-3	15	16.2	16.2	-0.01	16.8	16.5	0.25
Dwight Howard	71	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.18	8	1	7	16.2	16.3	-0.07	17.0	15.2	1.78
Metta World Peace	77	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	3	3	16.2	16.1	0.16	16.5	17.9	-1.42
Earl Clark	41	40	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	-1	11	16.3	16.2	0.13	17.1	16.4	0.71
Jodie Meeks	56	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	10	-11	17.0	14.9	2.04	16.7	16.7	-0.07
Antawn Jamison	35	32	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	10	-11	14.9	17.1	-2.25	16.2	17.0	-0.81
Steve Blake	30	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	14	-19	15.8	16.4	-0.64	15.8	17.2	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.7%
TOR 87, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.6%
PHX 105, HOU 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	95.5%