NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	4.8 [825]		MVP	Mario Elie (HOU): +7.9%
Houston Rockets	115		Comeback	1.1 [903]		LVP	Danny Manning (PHX): -11.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.C. Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.03	11	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	13	62%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	75%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Person	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.06	13	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.03	0.07	21	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Danny Manning	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	60%	0.08	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	13	62%	0.11	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	68%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Tracy Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	71%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	9	61%	0.09	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	59%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	61%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	26.1	15.8	22.0	2.4	40.6	131.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +43.6%

PHX -2.5%

HOU +11.0%

PHX -2.8%

HOU +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	14.9	15.6	108.2	117.3	104.4
season	14.6	15.5		106.8	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.6		103.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	17.0	15.3	12.8	14.6
HOU	14.9	15.8	14.1	14.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	32	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-13	16	14.0	14.9	-0.91	15.9	14.4	1.52
Chucky Brown	11	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-8	6	13.3	14.8	-1.54	13.4	15.1	-1.69
Rex Chapman	38	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-14	18	13.5	15.4	-1.83	15.7	14.4	1.36
Danny Manning	62	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.30	3	-13	16	13.9	15.9	-1.99	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Michael Finley	73	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-8	6	13.8	17.1	-3.30	14.4	16.3	-1.97
Steve Nash	51	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-2	-6	14.6	14.7	-0.07	14.2	15.7	-1.59
Wesley Person	35	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	16.5	13.6	2.98	15.5	14.5	1.00
Sam Cassell	55	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-2	-6	14.2	15.2	-0.97	13.8	16.3	-2.46
Joe Kleine	62	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.00	-17	7	-24	16.1	12.1	3.95	16.0	13.1	2.87
A.C. Green	66	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	5	-20	15.4	13.0	2.41	15.1	14.5	0.62

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	65	64	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.11	13	-3	16	13.7	17.2	-3.53	14.5	15.0	-0.55
Clyde Drexler	77	75	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.09	13	-3	16	13.9	18.7	-4.80	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Charles Barkley	82	81	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	2	6	15.5	11.6	3.91	15.1	12.4	2.64
Mario Elie	75	75	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	0	10	13.6	19.2	-5.64	14.5	15.3	-0.82
Kevin Willis	69	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	1	8	14.4	16.1	-1.76	15.1	13.4	1.70
Othella Harrington	39	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	8	-6	16.1	14.1	2.00	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Tracy Moore	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	13	-16	14.9	14.9	0.03	12.8	15.3	-2.55
Sam Mack	27	28	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	12	-14	15.5	14.7	0.81	13.9	14.9	-1.05
Matt Bullard	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	9	-8	18.5	14.4	4.10	14.9	14.6	0.30
Emanual Davis	33	33	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	13	-16	17.2	13.7	3.53	15.0	14.5	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 74, PHX 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NOP 92, SAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHH 79, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.6%