NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	92		Excitement	4.3 [959]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +15.8%
San Antonio Spurs	100		Comeback	1.1 [1004]		LVP	Alexis Ajinca (NOP): -18.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	59%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
James Ennis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.08	9	65%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tim Frazier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.00	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	15	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.04	0.08	19	44%	-0.11	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.02	9	89%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.04	10	95%	0.19	3	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	9	64%	0.09	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	30.8	14.7	21.3	2.0	36.0	129.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.3%

SAS +4.8%

NOP -11.3%

SAS +15.1%

SAS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	14.9	98.9	107.5	105.1
season	14.3	15.7		104.3	109.0
opponent	14.7	15.0		97.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.2	15.1	16.9	13.0	15.0
SAS	15.5	15.5	15.1	17.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	36	35	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.27	11	-19	30	14.2	15.5	-1.26	19.0	14.1	4.85
Kendrick Perkins	35	36	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-14	20	13.9	15.7	-1.87	17.7	14.9	2.81
Tim Frazier	49	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.18	3	-11	14	13.7	16.5	-2.81	17.0	14.8	2.22
James Ennis	46	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-11	14	13.4	16.6	-3.18	17.2	14.7	2.47
Alexis Ajinca	63	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-1	-6	15.4	14.3	1.11	14.7	18.8	-4.09
Jordan Hamilton	61	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	5	-18	15.6	14.0	1.56	14.6	18.6	-3.99
Toney Douglas	54	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	2	-12	15.5	14.3	1.19	15.1	17.1	-1.95
Dante Cunningham	72	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	6	-20	15.8	12.2	3.60	15.7	17.0	-1.30
Omer Asik	49	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	11	-30	16.4	13.5	2.89	15.0	17.0	-2.00

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	52	52	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.04	17	-9	26	14.8	17.4	-2.63	15.9	13.9	2.09
LaMarcus Aldridge	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-4	16	15.2	17.6	-2.44	15.9	13.1	2.79
Kawhi Leonard	44	44	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.03	17	-9	26	13.8	17.9	-4.08	16.7	13.5	3.19
Tim Duncan	52	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-8	24	14.6	17.6	-3.02	16.6	13.0	3.59
Danny Green	34	35	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	-5	18	14.6	16.7	-2.19	17.1	13.8	3.36
Manu Ginobili	45	44	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	7	-6	17.2	14.7	2.52	14.5	15.5	-1.08
Kyle Anderson	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	7	-6	16.9	15.5	1.43	12.6	16.1	-3.54
Kevin Martin	28	28	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	13	-18	15.5	16.1	-0.64	14.0	15.5	-1.46
Jonathon Simmons	22	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.26	-8	16	-24	17.5	15.5	2.04	12.2	15.9	-3.72
Matt Bonner	13	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	17.9	15.6	2.30	10.6	15.7	-5.10
Boban Marjanovic	17	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	12	-16	19.2	15.2	3.95	11.6	15.7	-4.10
Patty Mills	38	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.20	-8	16	-24	18.0	14.5	3.52	14.4	15.5	-1.06
Boris Diaw	28	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.23	-10	18	-28	17.8	15.1	2.68	14.5	15.3	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NJN 74, PHX 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
LAL 97, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%