NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	93		Excitement	5.3 [750]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +10.1%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	1.2 [1224]		LVP	Joe Smith (GSW): -19.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.02	9	83%	0.12	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Todd Fuller	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.06	6	86%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Booker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Scott Burrell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	8	33%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Felton Spencer	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	30%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	9	41%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.03	0.03	15	36%	-0.11	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.01	18	34%	-0.11	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	5	109%	0.14	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	-0.06	8	71%	0.10	4	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	9	80%	0.13	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.01
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.04	8	69%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.01	0.07	10	71%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.4	24.5	15.5	27.3	1.4	25.7	119.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +62.1%

UTA +0.2%

GSW -13.9%

GSW -0.2%

UTA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	14.0	15.6	98.9	110.4	104.4
season	15.0	15.6		104.4	110.8
opponent	16.0	15.4		102.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.8	15.8	17.4	15.3	16.3
UTA	12.0	14.8	13.3	16.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	46	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-11	9	16.2	16.5	-0.24	16.5	11.7	4.84
Andrew DeClercq	53	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-13	13	14.9	18.1	-3.20	16.3	11.3	4.95
Scott Burrell	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-7	1	16.2	16.4	-0.28	15.6	13.2	2.40
Felton Spencer	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-10	7	16.5	16.1	0.38	13.4	14.8	-1.39
Donyell Marshall	43	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-5	-3	16.3	16.4	-0.11	14.2	13.8	0.42
Todd Fuller	41	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	0	-13	17.1	15.7	1.43	11.5	16.1	-4.59
Latrell Sprewell	62	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	16.4	16.2	0.28	13.2	15.6	-2.40
Joe Smith	61	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-1	-11	17.2	14.8	2.35	12.8	16.3	-3.46

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Morris	50	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	3	7	15.0	12.9	2.09	16.0	16.7	-0.71
John Stockton	58	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	3	7	13.9	14.2	-0.30	16.8	15.6	1.27
Karl Malone	53	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	-2	17	12.4	16.0	-3.66	17.2	15.2	2.07
Stephen Howard	27	25	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.19	4	9	-5	15.7	13.3	2.37	15.8	16.5	-0.68
Greg Ostertag	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	7	-1	11.8	15.5	-3.63	18.4	14.9	3.45
Jeff Hornacek	49	48	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	7	-1	12.6	15.4	-2.79	17.1	15.5	1.56
Shandon Anderson	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	6	1	15.4	12.6	2.79	15.5	17.1	-1.56
Bryon Russell	33	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	8	-3	11.5	15.3	-3.88	17.3	15.8	1.47
Howard Eisley	38	37	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	10	-7	14.2	13.9	0.30	15.6	16.8	-1.27
Antoine Carr	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	9	-5	14.6	13.6	1.01	14.9	17.3	-2.34
Greg Foster	36	34	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	16	-19	16.8	12.3	4.53	14.5	17.4	-2.84
Adam Keefe	13	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	15	-17	16.6	13.6	3.03	15.2	16.5	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 87, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.6%
CHA 84, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%