NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	93		Excitement	4.3 [971]		MVP	Kevin Martin (OKC): +16.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	107		Comeback	1.5 [969]		LVP	Thabo Sefolosha (OKC): -8.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	9	70%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	70%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
James Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	9	39%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.02	11	48%	-0.00	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Gary Neal	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.01	0.02	10	87%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.02	-0.06	13	58%	0.12	4	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	16	66%	0.11	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	18	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	26.2	14.8	28.3	2.4	28.6	128.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +6.7%

OKC +16.7%

OKC +9.7%

OKC +14.5%

OKC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	15.7	14.2	15.4	96.9	110.3	104.1
season	15.2	14.8		106.4	109.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		100.6	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.1	13.6	16.8	14.4	15.7
OKC	13.2	15.2	12.6	15.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	23	25	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-18	22	13.7	16.3	-2.55	15.1	13.9	1.22
James Anderson	34	35	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.11	6	-20	26	13.1	17.1	-3.96	15.3	13.5	1.74
Patty Mills	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-18	22	14.4	16.1	-1.74	15.6	13.7	1.93
Nando De Colo	48	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-14	14	14.1	17.2	-3.15	14.1	14.3	-0.16
DeJuan Blair	32	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-12	10	14.8	16.1	-1.34	14.2	14.1	0.11
Stephen Jackson	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-9	4	16.3	15.2	1.11	12.6	15.3	-2.69
Tiago Splitter	43	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-9	4	16.0	15.4	0.67	14.2	14.2	0.05
Boris Diaw	47	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-4	-6	15.4	16.0	-0.62	13.7	14.6	-0.92
Danny Green	38	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	16.0	15.4	0.58	14.8	13.7	1.12
Tim Duncan	47	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	1	-16	17.2	14.2	3.01	14.1	14.3	-0.17
Tony Parker	49	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	2	-18	17.2	14.0	3.20	14.2	14.2	-0.02
Gary Neal	56	55	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	6	-26	17.1	13.7	3.35	13.6	15.0	-1.37

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	76	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.09	24	-10	34	13.7	15.7	-1.96	16.4	12.7	3.73
Thabo Sefolosha	50	48	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	2	10	13.5	14.9	-1.35	16.3	15.0	1.31
Russell Westbrook	73	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	-1	16	13.7	15.6	-1.93	15.6	15.9	-0.23
Kevin Durant	77	80	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	7	0	14.6	12.6	1.92	15.7	15.6	0.06
Nick Collison	53	50	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	9	-4	13.8	14.6	-0.84	14.7	16.7	-2.04
Kevin Martin	66	65	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	8	-2	14.3	13.9	0.35	15.1	16.9	-1.76
Kendrick Perkins	41	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.11	10	4	6	14.6	13.9	0.71	16.8	14.7	2.11
Eric Maynor	24	21	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	15	-16	15.6	13.7	1.93	15.9	15.6	0.23
DeAndre Liggins	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	15.3	14.1	1.20	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Jeremy Lamb	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	15.3	14.1	1.20	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Reggie Jackson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	15.3	14.1	1.20	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Hasheem Thabeet	16	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	19	-24	15.4	13.9	1.51	12.1	16.3	-4.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 79, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.8%
MIN 89, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
HOU 105, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1	95.7%