inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 95 Excitement5.2 [779] MVPTimofey Mozgov (LAL): +21.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 111 Comeback1.2 [878] LVPNick Young (LAL): -12.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.04-0.01-0.021750%0.051-0.00450%-0.02
Serge Ibaka0.010,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.020.001753%0.011-0.002100%0.00
CJ Wilcox0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
CJ Watson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Hezonja0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Damjan Rudez0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.01662%0.052-0.07450%-0.02
Jodie Meeks-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.01-0.05530%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Jeff Green-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.01550%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
D.J. Augustin-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00637%-0.031-0.02475%0.00
Elfrid Payton-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.020.011141%0.023-0.0800%0.00
Evan Fournier-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.001649%0.024-0.08771%-0.02
Aaron Gordon-0.110,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.02-0.03514%-0.082-0.03450%-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.160.090.037100%0.2100.001100%0.00
D'Angelo Russell0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.011077%0.102-0.00250%-0.01
Brandon Ingram0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.04977%0.113-0.05475%0.00
Tarik Black0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00564%0.061-0.021100%0.00
Jordan Clarkson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.02945%0.0200.002100%0.01
Luol Deng0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.001146%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Julius Randle0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.031259%0.072-0.05875%-0.01
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.061236%0.032-0.024100%0.01
Thomas Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00540%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Nick Young0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.01714%-0.082-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.529.315.725.22.333.3131.9
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +45.0%
LAL +4.7%
ORL -10.4%
LAL +13.7%
ORL -3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLLALNBAORLLALNBA
this game13.414.414.892.2106.7107.7
season14.614.5103.0104.8
opponent14.414.9111.6109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.112.215.713.013.4
LAL14.114.913.714.714.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
CJ Wilcox120.00-0.500.500.000-161610.013.5-3.4713.014.4-1.41
CJ Watson120.00-0.500.500.000-161610.013.5-3.4713.014.4-1.41
Mario Hezonja120.00-0.500.500.000-161610.013.5-3.4713.014.4-1.41
Damjan Rudez120.00-0.500.500.000-161610.013.5-3.4713.014.4-1.41
Jodie Meeks4039-0.03-0.470.430.17-7-9212.314.2-1.9014.114.6-0.49
Jeff Green5153-0.07-0.430.350.10-6-10413.213.6-0.4013.515.3-1.78
Elfrid Payton3939-0.19-0.310.11-0.08-4-12813.713.30.4115.014.01.03
Nikola Vucevic5857-0.25-0.250.00-0.04-7-9213.213.8-0.5714.614.10.59
Bismack Biyombo5656-0.25-0.25-0.000.04-10-6-413.813.00.8814.913.81.06
D.J. Augustin6363-0.31-0.19-0.110.04-12-4-813.313.6-0.2714.014.9-0.90
Aaron Gordon4950-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.18-9-7-213.613.30.3315.213.61.61
Serge Ibaka8282-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.12-12-4-813.612.70.9714.115.3-1.18
Evan Fournier7373-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.10-13-3-1013.912.31.6014.414.30.13

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Timofey Mozgov63640.410.090.33-0.021511414.614.00.5514.012.61.40
Julius Randle74730.410.090.310.05124814.214.9-0.6813.513.40.10
Jordan Clarkson64620.290.210.09-0.06124814.114.9-0.8013.114.0-0.94
D'Angelo Russell66650.290.210.080.0688014.514.10.4013.613.20.44
Brandon Ingram60590.290.210.08-0.06124814.114.8-0.6713.113.9-0.82
Luol Deng66660.270.230.030.0388014.514.20.2313.413.5-0.12
Lou Williams38380.210.29-0.08-0.0388014.114.5-0.4013.213.6-0.44
Nick Young40410.210.29-0.090.09412-814.914.10.8014.013.10.94
Tarik Black27260.080.42-0.340.05115-1414.014.5-0.4713.113.5-0.43
Thomas Robinson22210.040.46-0.410.04016-1615.414.11.2413.213.5-0.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 69, PHI 740.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
SEA 69, MEM 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
ORL 78, NYK 850.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,195.3%