inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 78 Excitement4.7 [838] MVPLarry Johnson (NYK): +13.7%
New York Knicks 85 Comeback1.4 [929] LVPDerek Harper (ORL): -18.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Strong0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.02-0.021362%0.1200.0000%0.00
David Benoit0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.02856%0.0300.0000%0.00
Gerald Wilkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.00542%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Nick Anderson-0.060,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.060.04-0.030.072057%0.002-0.06425%-0.04
Dan Schayes-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Bo Outlaw-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.05-0.00636%-0.072-0.05250%-0.01
Horace Grant-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.040.011133%-0.1310.002100%0.00
Kevin Ollie-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.030.00443%-0.053-0.086100%0.03
Derek Harper-0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.14-0.040.00821%-0.122-0.07367%-0.01

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Larry Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.140.140.100.03-0.011468%0.161-0.0200%0.00
Terry Cummings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.02-0.041250%0.071-0.0100%0.00
John Starks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03855%0.031-0.00683%0.00
Charlie Ward0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01567%0.063-0.065100%0.03
Chris Mills0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.02-0.011332%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Brooks Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Allan Houston0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.05-0.011250%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Charles Oakley0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.011137%-0.053-0.06250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.422.415.725.11.836.0124.7
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +44.9%
NYK +3.9%
ORL -0.2%
NYK +3.9%
ORL -2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLNYKNBAORLNYKNBA
this game18.615.715.692.9101.2102.5
season16.715.7100.3100.4
opponent16.315.698.6101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL17.918.318.819.418.6
NYK18.115.113.915.915.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Ollie2423-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-7718.718.50.2216.215.50.67
Gerald Wilkins2728-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-91118.818.50.3216.415.31.05
David Benoit1919-0.10-0.400.29-0.224-111519.418.41.0716.415.50.88
Derek Strong5352-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-5319.117.71.3515.715.70.00
Dan Schayes3131-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.02-92-1117.819.1-1.2515.016.1-1.04
Nick Anderson5756-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.14-92-1118.518.8-0.3215.316.4-1.05
Derek Harper6061-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.20-70-718.518.7-0.2215.516.2-0.67
Horace Grant6969-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.27-6-1-519.016.72.3516.213.52.71
Bo Outlaw8081-0.500.00-0.51-0.27-81-918.030.2-12.2415.424.3-8.96

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Ward57590.480.020.460.1910-31315.216.7-1.4418.219.5-1.26
Larry Johnson59590.430.070.360.208-1915.615.8-0.1619.217.31.87
Chris Mills60610.410.090.320.2652316.613.33.3620.114.65.49
Charles Oakley71710.370.130.240.2252315.417.2-1.8218.220.7-2.48
Allan Houston64630.340.160.190.1761514.818.6-3.8817.821.0-3.14
John Starks44440.250.25-0.010.1634-115.715.60.0817.619.6-2.01
Terry Cummings38380.200.30-0.100.1716-516.315.21.0918.418.7-0.27
Brooks Thompson27250.020.48-0.460.11-310-1316.715.21.4419.518.21.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 80, SEA 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.3%
ORL 95, LAL 1110.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,195.3%
CLE 77, HOU 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,1,1,195.2%