inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 77 Excitement4.7 [863] MVPRafer Alston (HOU): +8.1%
Houston Rockets 92 Comeback1.1 [996] LVPLarry Hughes (CLE): -11.9%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damon Jones0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.06-0.00-0.02764%0.0700.0000%0.00
LeBron James0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.00-0.002356%0.103-0.041155%-0.04
Eric Snow0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shannon Brown0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwayne Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cedric Simmons0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.00743%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ira Newble-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.03425%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Daniel Gibson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.000.04550%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Devin Brown-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01333%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.011136%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.05-0.050.021638%-0.091-0.03250%-0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.030.001457%0.101-0.022100%0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.021168%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.001052%0.0410.00520%-0.06
Yao Ming0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.011952%0.062-0.044100%0.02
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.002100%0.01
Charles Hayes00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00956%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03819%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.02-0.031133%-0.012-0.03250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.23.629.218.824.23.728.3130.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +24.1%
HOU +5.4%
HOU +21.7%
CLE -3.2%
HOU +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEHOUNBACLEHOUNBA
this game17.417.815.493.9112.2105.7
season16.416.2104.0104.6
opponent15.215.2100.3104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.217.918.317.117.4
HOU16.516.417.720.817.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Snow210.00-0.500.500.06-2-131113.017.5-4.4624.017.76.31
Shannon Brown210.00-0.500.500.06-2-131113.017.5-4.4624.017.76.31
Cedric Simmons210.00-0.500.500.06-2-131113.017.5-4.4624.017.76.31
Devin Brown2121-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-131115.817.9-2.0817.417.9-0.52
Dwayne Jones2626-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-2-131116.717.7-1.0218.217.60.56
Damon Jones3839-0.12-0.380.26-0.120-151517.317.4-0.0218.816.82.06
Daniel Gibson3232-0.22-0.280.06-0.02-7-8116.717.8-1.0417.218.1-0.85
Ira Newble5355-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.08-7-8117.317.4-0.0418.416.42.03
Donyell Marshall4242-0.38-0.12-0.260.00-13-2-1117.617.10.4516.619.0-2.36
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6262-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.08-12-3-918.314.53.7717.917.50.35
Larry Hughes5857-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.01-150-1517.916.11.7417.418.5-1.08
LeBron James7273-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.16-11-4-717.417.10.2917.520.1-2.63

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier68670.60-0.100.700.0718-32118.016.51.5317.417.10.35
Rafer Alston71700.490.010.480.081411318.016.51.4117.118.6-1.44
Luis Scola47450.450.050.400.011501517.418.2-0.8017.517.20.35
Yao Ming66660.430.070.360.051321118.116.51.5817.815.42.38
Tracy McGrady56560.380.120.260.03123917.518.4-0.9617.816.41.42
Bonzi Wells50500.190.31-0.110.0269-318.317.01.2616.718.3-1.57
Carl Landry21220.100.40-0.300.01312-917.317.9-0.6517.317.4-0.11
Charles Hayes78-0.050.55-0.600.01-217-1911.918.3-6.4613.217.8-4.55
Aaron Brooks2426-0.100.60-0.700.02-419-2318.117.60.5017.817.10.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 102, SAS 1190.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.92,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
ORL 78, NYK 850.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,195.2%
ORL 69, PHI 740.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%