NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	4.9 [827]		MVP	George Hill (SAS): +23.5%
San Antonio Spurs	119		Comeback	1.5 [1203]		LVP	Michael Harris (HOU): -8.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.01	8	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	11	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	60%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	17	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	18	54%	0.08	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Jermaine Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	15	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Michael Harris	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.04	0.02	15	83%	0.27	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	53%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	12	68%	0.11	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	12	66%	0.08	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	36%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	32.4	15.5	25.6	2.4	31.2	132.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +48.9%

SAS +6.7%

HOU -14.7%

SAS +8.2%

SAS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	13.7	14.7	15.3	100.0	117.8	106.0
season	15.0	15.9		106.0	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.4	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	12.7	13.7	12.8	13.7
SAS	13.8	15.1	13.5	16.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hilton Armstrong	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-17	17	15.6	13.5	2.03	18.3	14.4	3.85
Michael Harris	21	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-17	17	14.1	13.6	0.53	17.0	14.2	2.83
Kyle Lowry	51	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-15	13	13.1	14.3	-1.20	15.5	13.9	1.62
Jordan Hill	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-13	9	14.4	13.2	1.19	14.4	14.9	-0.48
Chase Budinger	70	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-10	3	13.5	14.1	-0.61	15.1	13.8	1.36
Jermaine Taylor	73	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-7	-3	12.9	15.7	-2.81	15.2	13.4	1.76
Charles Hayes	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-7	-3	13.9	13.5	0.41	14.0	15.2	-1.16
Trevor Ariza	67	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	-2	-13	14.0	13.1	0.86	14.1	16.0	-1.88
Luis Scola	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	1	-19	13.5	13.9	-0.41	14.3	15.5	-1.29
Aaron Brooks	76	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.05	-19	2	-21	14.1	12.5	1.63	13.8	17.3	-3.48

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	71	72	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.12	23	-6	29	14.0	16.4	-2.46	14.1	12.7	1.38
George Hill	81	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	-4	25	14.4	15.8	-1.37	13.9	13.0	0.92
Tim Duncan	66	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.17	24	-7	31	14.0	16.0	-2.03	14.5	12.2	2.25
Antonio McDyess	36	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	8	1	14.3	14.9	-0.62	13.7	13.7	0.01
Manu Ginobili	68	68	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	9	-1	14.5	15.2	-0.67	13.4	14.3	-0.93
Malik Hairston	48	48	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	7	3	15.4	14.1	1.36	13.6	13.8	-0.22
Matt Bonner	27	30	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	12	-7	14.1	14.9	-0.86	15.2	13.0	2.21
Keith Bogans	17	17	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	15	-13	13.2	15.0	-1.84	12.2	14.0	-1.73
Ian Mahinmi	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	18.2	14.5	3.68	15.8	13.5	2.29
Garrett Temple	15	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	20	-23	16.7	14.3	2.38	13.8	13.7	0.16
DeJuan Blair	35	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.17	-7	24	-31	16.0	14.0	2.03	12.2	14.5	-2.25
Roger Mason Jr.	35	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.13	-7	24	-31	16.4	13.8	2.64	12.1	14.5	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.92,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, NJN 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
MEM 108, HOU 123	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CLE 77, HOU 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	95.2%