inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 80 Excitement4.1 [952] MVPSam Perkins (SEA): +10.7%
Seattle SuperSonics 93 Comeback1.2 [1051] LVPGary Payton (SEA): -17.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.031550%0.041-0.00250%-0.01
Michael Curry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.050.000.042100%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Aaron McKie0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.00540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Litterial Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Don Reid0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerome Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Grant Long-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.00462%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Terry Mills-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00642%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Joe Dumars-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.02-0.001065%0.095-0.1400%0.00
Theo Ratliff-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01420%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Grant Hill-0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.031645%-0.032-0.03875%0.01
Otis Thorpe-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01654%-0.004-0.081100%0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.02-0.011067%0.1100.001090%0.02
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.02-0.03483%0.091-0.004100%0.02
Nate McMillan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Shawn Kemp0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.031644%0.0100.00450%-0.01
Craig Ehlo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02125%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Terry Cummings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.01837%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jim McIlvaine0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.02657%0.002-0.042100%0.00
Larry Stewart0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.03825%-0.042-0.0300%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.19-0.04-0.051642%-0.077-0.11667%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game39.21.525.516.327.41.727.0138.6
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +11.8%
SEA +1.8%
SEA +20.0%
SEA +14.7%
SEA +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETSEANBADETSEANBA
this game16.116.015.687.9105.7104.4
season17.114.9107.6108.9
opponent16.216.2100.8102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET19.116.415.813.416.1
SEA16.715.514.217.916.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Williams870.00-0.500.50-0.093-16197.017.0-10.0115.316.1-0.83
Litterial Green870.00-0.500.50-0.093-16197.017.0-10.0115.316.1-0.83
Don Reid540.00-0.500.500.03-1-12115.816.7-10.939.716.3-6.60
Aaron McKie3938-0.03-0.470.43-0.061-141515.516.6-1.0418.314.33.95
Grant Long3434-0.05-0.450.39-0.174-172115.016.8-1.8518.614.54.10
Terry Mills3839-0.06-0.440.39-0.060-131315.716.5-0.7716.715.51.16
Michael Curry2323-0.06-0.440.37-0.122-151713.317.1-3.7816.715.80.94
Theo Ratliff4845-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.03-9-4-516.515.80.6914.817.3-2.55
Grant Hill7370-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-141-1516.714.02.6616.215.30.90
Joe Dumars6159-0.500.00-0.50-0.00-174-2117.413.63.8315.916.3-0.45
Lindsey Hunter7573-0.510.01-0.51-0.01-174-2117.310.66.6815.120.8-5.73
Otis Thorpe4341-0.550.05-0.600.04-207-2719.013.65.4414.817.2-2.41

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Payton78810.54-0.040.570.0417-42116.314.02.3116.711.74.98
Hersey Hawkins54550.52-0.020.540.0217-42115.916.2-0.3117.114.72.38
Jim McIlvaine35370.390.110.28-0.0515-21713.617.7-4.1117.415.32.15
Larry Stewart58570.370.130.240.021211115.217.7-2.5116.815.11.71
Shawn Kemp59610.330.170.160.24310-716.315.60.7417.513.34.22
Sam Perkins39380.220.28-0.06-0.0494517.115.21.8115.616.5-0.95
Nate McMillan36370.120.38-0.260.09112-1117.115.31.7115.316.7-1.41
Terry Cummings37380.050.45-0.400.05013-1317.714.92.8115.516.6-1.13
Eric Snow570.010.49-0.470.04-114-1513.016.2-3.236.017.0-10.98
Greg Graham560.000.50-0.500.03-114-1513.016.2-3.236.516.8-10.31
Craig Ehlo560.000.50-0.500.03-114-1513.016.2-3.236.516.8-10.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 113, GSW 1320.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
MIA 89, CHI 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.6%
CLE 76, NOH 860.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.6%