NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	76		Excitement	3.8 [1017]		MVP	David West (NOH): +16.3%
New Orleans Hornets	86		Comeback	1.1 [992]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -17.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	21	44%	-0.01	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.19	-0.02	-0.04	9	11%	-0.09	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.00	19	61%	0.18	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	92%	0.10	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.04	11	41%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	18	43%	0.04	3	-0.05	10	80%	0.03
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	29.4	15.7	25.3	3.3	28.5	127.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +34.6%

NOH +7.0%

CLE -5.9%

NOH +15.1%

CLE -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOH	NBA	CLE	NOH	NBA
this game	16.6	16.9	15.4	87.4	101.2	105.7
season	16.4	15.9		104.0	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	17.3	17.5	16.1	16.6
NOH	15.0	17.0	16.0	20.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	28	29	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-15	20	13.9	17.9	-4.06	16.0	17.3	-1.34
Dwayne Jones	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	9.5	16.8	-7.28	22.0	16.8	5.24
Ira Newble	16	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-12	14	13.7	17.3	-3.50	16.5	17.0	-0.51
Daniel Gibson	51	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-12	14	16.0	17.5	-1.47	18.7	14.1	4.61
Anderson Varejao	39	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	0	-10	15.9	17.2	-1.34	16.5	17.2	-0.67
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	59	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-5	0	17.4	14.9	2.58	16.4	17.9	-1.49
Sasha Pavlovic	48	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-5	0	17.8	15.2	2.64	15.7	18.4	-2.69
Larry Hughes	57	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	3	-16	17.3	15.2	2.10	16.6	17.5	-0.90
Drew Gooden	58	54	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.14	-12	2	-14	17.3	15.2	2.05	17.6	15.6	2.00
LeBron James	77	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.06	-18	8	-26	16.7	15.6	1.14	17.0	16.4	0.60

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	75	77	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.04	20	-10	30	16.8	17.4	-0.59	16.7	15.6	1.14
Chris Paul	70	73	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.06	17	-7	24	16.9	16.7	0.18	16.8	15.6	1.24
Tyson Chandler	72	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-5	20	17.1	15.5	1.59	17.3	12.7	4.60
Peja Stojakovic	58	58	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-4	18	17.6	15.4	2.11	17.2	15.4	1.84
Morris Peterson	56	56	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-2	14	17.5	15.7	1.76	16.9	16.1	0.75
Bobby Jackson	29	31	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	12	-14	15.7	17.5	-1.76	16.1	16.9	-0.75
Rasual Butler	27	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	14	-18	15.4	17.6	-2.11	15.4	17.2	-1.84
Hilton Armstrong	13	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	15	-20	15.5	17.1	-1.59	12.7	17.3	-4.60
Jannero Pargo	15	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	17	-24	16.7	16.9	-0.18	15.6	16.8	-1.24
Julian Wright	10	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	20	-30	17.4	16.8	0.59	15.6	16.7	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 94, UTA 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NYK 92, TOR 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
TOR 80, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%