NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	3.6 [1087]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +13.4%
Utah Jazz	120		Comeback	1.1 [1209]		LVP	Brad Miller (SAC): -8.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	15	67%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	13	62%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	1	80%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	11	73%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	61%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	5	8%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	45%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	10	91%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.03	0.08	8	86%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	13	58%	0.06	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	17%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	65%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Morris Almond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	5	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	11	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	27.8	15.0	27.2	2.5	26.3	124.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.9%

UTA +4.1%

UTA +11.9%

UTA +15.6%

UTA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	15.5	96.9	123.7	106.4
season	15.0	15.3		104.0	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		105.4	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	12.7	17.1	14.5	14.7
UTA	15.5	16.6	11.7	16.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	9	9	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-27	28	12.1	15.0	-2.88	17.2	14.7	2.48
Jason Thompson	51	49	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.14	-2	-24	22	14.1	15.5	-1.40	14.4	15.6	-1.17
Quincy Douby	24	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-27	28	14.5	14.8	-0.24	16.1	14.6	1.52
Bobby Jackson	27	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.17	-6	-20	14	13.5	15.2	-1.67	13.3	15.6	-2.32
Bobby Brown	42	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.22	-11	-15	4	14.3	15.1	-0.77	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Donte Greene	62	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.27	-18	-8	-10	14.4	15.3	-0.88	15.0	14.8	0.22
Francisco Garcia	23	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.03	-10	-16	6	15.8	14.4	1.45	14.9	15.0	-0.07
Spencer Hawes	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.23	-18	-8	-10	15.1	14.4	0.74	13.4	16.1	-2.72
Mikki Moore	40	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-14	2	14.8	14.6	0.22	16.1	14.1	2.04
Beno Udrih	55	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-11	-4	15.1	14.3	0.77	15.2	14.6	0.59
John Salmons	58	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	-7	-12	15.3	13.9	1.34	15.2	14.6	0.60
Brad Miller	52	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.09	-21	-5	-16	15.4	14.0	1.43	15.4	14.4	1.02

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	46	46	0.67	-0.17	0.85	-0.38	36	-10	46	13.7	16.2	-2.50	15.9	13.7	2.22
Paul Millsap	67	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.10	22	4	18	15.1	14.6	0.49	15.4	13.3	2.06
Deron Williams	53	52	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.08	20	6	14	15.0	14.9	0.15	15.7	13.6	2.05
Ronnie Brewer	61	62	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.30	26	0	26	13.9	16.8	-2.96	15.5	13.4	2.11
Mehmet Okur	67	67	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.32	26	0	26	14.5	15.9	-1.40	14.9	14.4	0.51
Kyle Korver	50	49	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	28	-30	16.3	13.5	2.79	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Kosta Koufos	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	27	-28	18.6	14.6	3.98	12.9	14.9	-2.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	28	-30	20.3	14.6	5.73	12.9	14.9	-2.01
Ronnie Price	44	45	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.18	6	20	-14	14.9	15.0	-0.15	13.6	15.7	-2.05
Andrei Kirilenko	58	59	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.21	6	20	-14	14.5	15.7	-1.21	13.8	16.1	-2.23
Morris Almond	24	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	33	-40	16.7	14.4	2.26	13.4	15.2	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 76, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
CLE 83, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NYK 92, TOR 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%