NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	80		Excitement	4.2 [963]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +15.6%
Indiana Pacers	91		Comeback	1.1 [1115]		LVP	Al Harrington (IND): -18.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	17	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Brian Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	8	22%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	53%	0.01	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.02
Dwyane Wade	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	14	56%	0.01	6	-0.13	6	83%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	10	23%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	10	79%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	133%	0.07	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.06	4	50%	0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	16	54%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	15	41%	-0.09	1	-0.02	11	64%	-0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	6	47%	-0.02	6	-0.16	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	0.3	35.4	0.2	27.1	3.6	39.5	131.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.1%

MIA -0.2%

MIA -7.7%

IND +10.5%

IND +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	IND	NBA	MIA	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	17.2	15.7	89.9	103.4	100.5
season	16.2	16.7		99.3	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.9		94.7	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.2	17.0	16.0	12.7	15.4
IND	15.1	18.2	17.6	17.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-19	27	10.1	16.2	-6.14	15.4	17.4	-2.02
Brian Grant	50	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-4	-3	16.4	14.1	2.39	16.4	18.2	-1.80
Udonis Haslem	32	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-10	9	13.2	16.6	-3.49	18.4	16.5	1.83
Malik Allen	42	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-12	13	14.2	16.4	-2.23	17.5	16.9	0.62
Eddie Jones	57	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	2	-15	15.1	15.9	-0.75	17.5	16.5	0.99
Lamar Odom	58	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.16	-16	5	-21	17.0	12.4	4.56	17.3	17.0	0.30
Dwyane Wade	64	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	16.2	13.4	2.72	17.1	17.3	-0.15
Rafer Alston	68	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-4	-3	14.9	17.0	-2.04	17.5	16.2	1.24
Caron Butler	62	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	3	-17	16.0	13.9	2.11	16.6	18.4	-1.81

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	61	65	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-4	19	16.7	18.1	-1.43	16.0	13.7	2.31
Al Harrington	60	62	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.04	15	-4	19	17.0	17.5	-0.50	15.7	14.7	0.99
Jamaal Tinsley	51	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-1	13	15.9	18.8	-2.90	16.0	14.5	1.55
Fred Jones	38	38	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	0	11	18.6	16.1	2.50	16.2	14.8	1.43
Jermaine O'Neal	52	53	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	5	1	16.1	18.7	-2.65	16.4	13.9	2.48
Reggie Miller	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	5	1	16.2	17.8	-1.64	15.9	15.1	0.83
Anthony Johnson	39	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	10	-9	18.6	16.0	2.66	14.6	16.0	-1.35
Austin Croshere	25	25	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	11	-11	19.7	16.1	3.58	14.1	15.9	-1.83
Jeff Foster	25	25	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	6	-1	16.4	17.5	-1.06	16.2	15.1	1.18
Jonathan Bender	30	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	11	-11	18.1	16.7	1.43	14.0	16.0	-1.98
Scot Pollard	14	12	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.20	-6	17	-23	18.6	16.9	1.76	11.4	16.0	-4.60
Kenny Anderson	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	21	-31	15.5	17.4	-1.87	7.9	16.2	-8.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 84, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	95.8%
OKC 90, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAS 83, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%