NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	84		Excitement	4.7 [859]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): +14.6%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.1 [852]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -16.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	133%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	58%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	33%	-0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	16	49%	-0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.05	0.03	17	45%	-0.09	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.03	0.01	22	40%	-0.09	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.01	-0.03	24	62%	0.23	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.03	0.04	7	94%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	18	60%	0.10	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.05	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	33%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	9	26%	-0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	352.0	1.8	32.2	15.4	26.4	2.8	32.2	462.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +61.0%

BOS -1.6%

BOS -9.4%

BOS -2.9%

DET +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	16.4	16.7	15.6	96.6	110.3	102.3
season	15.0	15.7		100.9	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.7		99.8	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	18.8	17.4	14.8	14.4	16.4
DET	14.8	13.9	15.9	23.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	28	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-12	12	16.0	16.5	-0.53	16.7	16.8	-0.07
Tony Delk	20	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-10	8	17.4	16.0	1.36	15.4	17.2	-1.80
Rodney Rogers	55	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	15.8	17.2	-1.41	18.1	14.6	3.45
Kenny Anderson	67	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-2	-8	16.0	17.4	-1.36	17.2	15.4	1.80
Antoine Walker	81	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-7	2	16.4	16.3	0.02	17.1	11.0	6.10
Paul Pierce	69	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-3	-6	16.7	15.2	1.50	17.7	13.5	4.19
Tony Battie	41	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	0	-12	17.3	15.5	1.82	13.9	19.3	-5.38
Eric Williams	74	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	1	-14	16.1	18.1	-2.02	16.2	19.9	-3.71

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	83	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-4	20	16.8	15.5	1.31	16.6	13.0	3.56
Chucky Atkins	71	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-4	20	16.6	17.2	-0.54	16.2	17.2	-1.02
Jerry Stackhouse	70	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	2	8	16.4	18.2	-1.85	15.8	18.8	-2.99
Michael Curry	74	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	5	2	17.2	14.0	3.23	15.9	18.9	-3.07
Corliss Williamson	28	28	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	0	12	17.3	16.5	0.79	17.1	16.0	1.16
Jon Barry	28	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	7	-2	16.5	16.9	-0.42	17.4	15.9	1.47
Ben Wallace	65	68	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	14	-16	16.4	17.8	-1.37	16.5	15.8	0.73
Damon Jones	16	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	16	-20	17.2	16.6	0.54	17.2	16.2	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
PHI 72, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAS 83, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%