NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	72		Excitement	5.0 [807]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +6.9%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	1.2 [655]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -40.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	62%	0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Art Long	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Monty Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.12	-0.00	-0.11	10	23%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Aaron McKie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	15	45%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.19,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.33,-0.36,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.31	-0.11	-0.01	19	28%	-0.18	9	-0.22	1	0%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.03	0.05	11	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	70%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Glen Rice	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	7	71%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	56%	0.03	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	17	56%	0.04	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.17	-0.02	-0.09	8	12%	-0.05	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	27.5	15.8	25.2	2.5	28.3	126.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.9%

HOU +2.6%

HOU +10.5%

HOU +5.7%

PHI -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	15.1	16.0	15.5	78.3	104.3	101.6
season	15.3	16.3		102.1	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.4	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	15.8	15.8	14.1	15.1
HOU	15.4	13.5	15.5	20.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-23	21	12.5	15.4	-2.87	21.0	15.6	5.40
John Salmons	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.23	-8	-17	9	14.2	15.2	-1.07	21.2	15.3	5.86
Todd MacCulloch	35	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-25	25	14.6	15.5	-0.88	13.6	17.6	-3.92
Monty Williams	53	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	-17	9	14.7	15.7	-0.95	14.8	17.5	-2.69
Brian Skinner	11	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-14	3	13.2	15.4	-2.20	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Art Long	13	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-17	9	16.5	14.9	1.56	16.6	15.9	0.70
Greg Buckner	34	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.15	-13	-12	-1	14.8	15.3	-0.56	18.4	14.7	3.74
Keith Van Horn	68	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-13	1	15.3	14.5	0.84	15.7	16.7	-1.00
Derrick Coleman	48	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.22	-17	-8	-9	15.9	14.3	1.62	17.4	14.5	2.91
Aaron McKie	44	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-13	1	16.0	14.4	1.60	16.4	15.6	0.80
Eric Snow	63	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.06	-15	-10	-5	15.1	15.1	0.02	15.0	18.4	-3.36
Allen Iverson	72	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	-6	-13	15.1	15.2	-0.10	15.6	17.5	-1.84

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	76	74	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.24	26	-1	27	16.2	15.2	1.02	15.5	13.6	1.94
Moochie Norris	51	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.30	24	1	23	16.2	15.8	0.32	14.8	15.5	-0.67
Kelvin Cato	42	40	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.11	17	8	9	16.6	15.5	1.07	13.7	16.2	-2.42
Glen Rice	49	47	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	17	-9	15.0	17.2	-2.18	15.1	15.1	-0.03
Cuttino Mobley	80	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.25	18	7	11	16.2	14.7	1.53	15.7	12.0	3.68
Kenny Thomas	63	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.23	17	8	9	16.6	14.9	1.69	15.3	14.8	0.47
Eddie Griffin	30	32	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	17	-9	14.9	16.6	-1.69	14.8	15.3	-0.47
Yao Ming	51	52	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	17	-9	15.5	16.6	-1.07	16.2	13.7	2.42
Terence Morris	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	20.3	15.7	4.62	11.1	15.4	-4.30
Bostjan Nachbar	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	20.3	15.7	4.62	11.1	15.4	-4.30
Juaquin Hawkins	11	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	26	-27	12.4	16.5	-4.14	15.1	15.1	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 84, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	95.3%
MIA 80, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
POR 90, BOS 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%