NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	4.4 [940]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +24.9%
Boston Celtics	118		Comeback	1.8 [949]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): -13.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.05	5	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	13	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.04	9	61%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	14	56%	0.11	6	-0.14	13	85%	0.04
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.16	-0.02	-0.09	6	0%	-0.08	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	10	36%	-0.07	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.08	-0.01	19	66%	0.27	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	10	76%	0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.03	10	68%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Ray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.10	-0.00	0.12	12	68%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	0.06	2	80%	-0.02	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.3	30.4	15.5	28.9	1.8	29.2	133.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.3%

POR -5.2%

POR -1.4%

BOS +9.6%

BOS +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	15.4	94.7	124.2	104.5
season	16.7	15.5		103.1	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.2	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.6	18.1	17.5	14.0	16.0
BOS	15.4	11.9	13.8	16.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-31	34	12.7	16.2	-3.44	19.6	14.0	5.62
LaMarcus Aldridge	53	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-25	22	15.2	17.1	-1.85	15.2	13.1	2.11
Martell Webster	37	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.35	-16	-12	-4	15.6	16.3	-0.78	14.0	14.5	-0.46
Jamaal Magloire	21	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.36	-17	-11	-6	18.1	15.5	2.64	14.4	14.2	0.22
Jarrett Jack	74	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.21	-13	-15	2	16.8	13.4	3.36	13.5	17.2	-3.71
Ime Udoka	55	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.26	-15	-13	-2	16.5	15.3	1.20	14.6	13.8	0.82
Juan Dixon	62	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.36	-20	-8	-12	16.0	16.2	-0.21	14.8	13.4	1.43
Travis Outlaw	44	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-18	8	16.0	16.1	-0.16	13.7	14.8	-1.03
Sergio Rodriguez	38	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.18	-16	-12	-4	15.0	16.7	-1.69	15.0	13.8	1.12
Zach Randolph	66	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	-12	-4	16.3	15.5	0.76	13.8	15.4	-1.64
Stephen Graham	21	20	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	-11	-6	15.1	16.3	-1.22	12.8	14.7	-1.80

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	61	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	14	0	13.9	14.9	-0.95	16.6	15.0	1.60
Brian Scalabrine	35	38	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.50	30	-2	32	13.1	14.9	-1.79	15.6	16.3	-0.68
Leon Powe	39	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	20	-12	13.8	14.6	-0.73	16.1	16.0	0.06
Delonte West	39	39	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.35	22	6	16	13.4	14.9	-1.55	15.6	16.3	-0.72
Rajon Rondo	47	48	0.28	0.21	0.07	-0.42	24	4	20	13.8	14.7	-0.92	15.5	16.6	-1.14
Wally Szczerbiak	49	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	19	-10	14.5	14.1	0.40	17.0	15.0	1.98
Sebastian Telfair	49	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	24	-20	14.5	14.0	0.53	16.6	15.5	1.14
Gerald Green	36	37	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.36	16	12	4	14.3	14.3	0.05	14.9	16.8	-1.88
Ryan Gomes	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	29	-30	15.3	13.6	1.71	17.4	15.1	2.32
Kendrick Perkins	45	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	28	-28	14.8	13.8	1.00	16.3	15.8	0.43
Tony Allen	25	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.36	14	14	0	15.5	13.8	1.69	14.0	16.7	-2.68
Allan Ray	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	28	-28	15.8	14.1	1.75	13.8	16.3	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 72, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ATL 87, CHH 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAC 99, DAL 129	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%