NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	87		Excitement	4.4 [924]		MVP	Eddie Robinson (CHH): +9.1%
Charlotte Hornets	119		Comeback	2.0 [1056]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -16.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	75%	0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.01	0.07	8	76%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Drew Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	13	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	11	32%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0	75%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	32%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.03	8	39%	-0.03	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	14	46%	-0.02	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	0.01	0.10	17	78%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	2	117%	0.06	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	5	83%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	47%	-0.02	1	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	7	61%	0.02	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	10	33%	-0.13	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	25.2	15.6	26.4	2.5	30.3	126.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +27.8%

CHH +5.9%

CHH +2.4%

CHH +14.2%

ATL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHH	NBA	ATL	CHH	NBA
this game	15.0	14.6	15.2	89.7	122.7	101.7
season	15.4	14.9		99.3	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		99.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.6	14.5	17.7	14.6	15.0
CHH	16.4	14.3	15.7	12.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Barry	18	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-25	18	13.4	15.4	-2.03	13.0	15.1	-2.05
Alan Henderson	47	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.18	-8	-24	16	14.6	15.4	-0.82	16.6	12.9	3.73
Dion Glover	51	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.51	-22	-10	-12	14.5	15.6	-1.04	13.4	16.1	-2.64
Cal Bowdler	35	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.29	-15	-17	2	14.9	15.1	-0.24	12.1	16.2	-4.15
Bimbo Coles	43	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.50	-24	-8	-16	14.9	15.1	-0.20	12.4	16.6	-4.20
Dikembe Mutombo	57	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-20	8	15.0	15.1	-0.19	16.3	12.4	3.87
Jason Terry	63	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-22	12	14.6	15.9	-1.39	15.9	12.6	3.33
LaPhonso Ellis	63	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.19	-18	-14	-4	15.7	13.8	1.87	16.0	12.4	3.51
Jim Jackson	62	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	-15	-2	15.3	14.7	0.60	14.9	14.2	0.70
Lorenzen Wright	46	46	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.24	-27	-5	-22	16.5	13.8	2.69	13.3	15.8	-2.52

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	68	68	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.22	31	1	30	14.4	15.3	-0.99	16.1	12.5	3.65
Anthony Mason	74	74	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.25	30	2	28	14.3	15.7	-1.31	16.0	12.0	3.93
Eddie Jones	54	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	21	-10	16.6	12.2	4.34	14.9	15.2	-0.35
Derrick Coleman	53	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	23	-14	16.8	12.0	4.81	14.7	15.5	-0.76
Elden Campbell	53	54	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	25	-18	16.8	12.0	4.81	14.7	15.5	-0.84
Brad Miller	34	34	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.44	23	9	14	11.6	16.3	-4.67	16.7	14.2	2.52
Eddie Robinson	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.39	17	15	2	13.6	15.3	-1.76	15.7	14.6	1.10
Baron Davis	48	47	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.45	19	13	6	13.5	15.7	-2.19	14.8	15.2	-0.41
Chucky Brown	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	24	-16	12.8	15.1	-2.23	13.4	15.4	-2.03
Eldridge Recasner	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	32	-32	12.9	14.9	-1.96	10.8	15.6	-4.76
Todd Fuller	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	32	-32	12.9	14.9	-1.96	10.8	15.6	-4.76
Ricky Davis	23	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.23	5	27	-22	13.6	15.0	-1.36	13.0	15.6	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
POR 85, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
WAS 76, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%