inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Jersey Nets 89 Excitement4.4 [971] MVPJames Jones (MIA): +10.8%
Miami Heat 101 Comeback1.6 [1272] LVPBrook Lopez (NJN): -15.3%


New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Morrow0.110,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.13-0.010.011771%0.173-0.061100%0.00
Derrick Favors0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.050.03861%0.0800.00250%-0.00
Travis Outlaw0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.02642%0.0200.0000%0.00
Quinton Ross0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0020%0.00
Johan Petro-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Damion James-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01650%-0.001-0.00250%0.00
Kris Humphries-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Devin Harris-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01450%0.021-0.034100%0.02
Troy Murphy-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011135%-0.021-0.0210%-0.00
Jordan Farmar-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01735%-0.031-0.02367%-0.00
Terrence Williams-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.020.04750%-0.043-0.0700%0.00
Brook Lopez-0.150,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.10-0.060.001635%-0.092-0.062100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.01-0.014100%0.1100.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.030.041262%0.1000.001090%0.04
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.13-0.000.041766%0.163-0.071070%-0.02
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.030.011662%0.144-0.08560%-0.01
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.000100%0.0300.002100%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01233%0.0000.002100%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00450%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.10-0.00-0.06933%0.023-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.828.515.829.32.427.7132.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +26.9%
MIA +13.5%
MIA +2.7%
MIA +9.3%
NJN -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNJNMIANBANJNMIANBA
this game16.414.215.593.7108.6105.7
season16.416.0101.6109.0
opponent15.615.3102.3108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NJN17.717.115.715.016.4
MIA12.112.913.618.414.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quinton Ross1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-182411.517.1-5.6319.113.55.63
Johan Petro1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-182411.517.1-5.6319.113.55.63
Damion James1415-0.00-0.500.50-0.279-213014.216.8-2.6019.313.26.14
Kris Humphries1514-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-9615.316.6-1.3815.414.01.38
Terrence Williams5049-0.12-0.380.26-0.120-121215.417.6-2.1415.412.82.55
Jordan Farmar3634-0.17-0.330.150.12-10-2-816.216.6-0.3413.914.3-0.43
Derrick Favors5553-0.24-0.260.01-0.15-3-9616.017.0-1.0215.512.52.95
Troy Murphy4746-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-131-1416.716.10.6213.015.3-2.25
Devin Harris4746-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.01-10-2-817.115.81.2912.915.4-2.51
Anthony Morrow6766-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.07-11-1-1017.214.62.6413.515.8-2.30
Brook Lopez6261-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.08-11-1-1017.714.03.7712.717.0-4.30
Travis Outlaw6057-0.510.01-0.530.07-208-2817.414.72.7612.716.5-3.78

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade69700.440.060.390.0015-31813.416.3-2.8417.413.83.63
James Jones44450.400.100.31-0.1519-72614.613.80.7716.816.10.66
Chris Bosh64650.380.120.250.051111013.715.2-1.4917.414.33.07
LeBron James66700.330.170.160.011111013.316.4-3.1916.715.61.18
Udonis Haslem57570.280.220.060.0584414.913.01.9315.917.2-1.25
Carlos Arroyo39400.240.26-0.010.0766012.815.2-2.3917.115.91.20
Zydrunas Ilgauskas32340.230.27-0.04-0.091111013.314.6-1.3316.716.30.47
Joel Anthony24260.110.39-0.270.05210-812.914.6-1.7616.816.30.52
Eddie House43440.080.42-0.350.05111-1015.513.12.3915.916.9-0.97
Jamaal Magloire980.000.50-0.500.23-820-2819.313.65.709.617.1-7.43
Jerry Stackhouse980.000.50-0.500.23-820-2819.313.65.709.617.1-7.43
Mario Chalmers980.000.50-0.500.23-820-2819.313.65.709.617.1-7.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 77, HOU 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
ATL 87, CHH 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
MIN 85, LAL 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.3%