NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	77		Excitement	4.4 [946]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +16.0%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	1.6 [956]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -18.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	13	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Johan Petro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Swift	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	3	75%	0.04	4	-0.08	2	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Luke Ridnour	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	12	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	22	50%	0.01	6	-0.14	2	50%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.03	26	63%	0.23	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.05	19	55%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	19%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	28.0	17.8	29.6	0.2	22.4	123.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +15.5%

HOU +7.9%

HOU +7.3%

HOU +21.0%

SEA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	15.6	80.2	105.3	104.4
season	15.0	16.1		108.9	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.8		101.4	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.8	15.5	13.8	15.7	14.7
HOU	16.2	14.5	16.3	15.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-23	23	0.0	14.7	-14.69	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Mateen Cleaves	23	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.18	-7	-16	9	15.7	14.4	1.33	15.0	15.6	-0.69
Robert Swift	68	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-17	11	14.2	15.9	-1.65	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Reggie Evans	7	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.17	-9	-14	5	15.6	14.6	0.95	17.2	15.4	1.81
Ronald Murray	37	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-19	15	15.4	14.2	1.21	15.9	15.2	0.77
Damien Wilkins	36	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.18	-10	-13	3	15.1	14.4	0.68	14.8	15.9	-1.13
Vladimir Radmanovic	40	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-18	13	12.7	16.1	-3.32	15.9	15.2	0.76
Nick Collison	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-15	7	17.4	13.5	3.91	14.4	15.9	-1.53
Rashard Lewis	71	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-10	-3	14.3	15.8	-1.50	15.7	14.8	0.86
Ray Allen	71	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.16	-20	-3	-17	14.1	16.3	-2.21	15.0	16.8	-1.75
Luke Ridnour	61	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	-8	-7	14.5	15.0	-0.45	15.9	14.7	1.21
Johan Petro	37	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	-5	-13	15.7	14.1	1.65	15.9	15.2	0.61

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	70	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.19	20	3	17	15.2	16.1	-0.88	15.3	12.8	2.50
Luther Head	52	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.24	19	4	15	15.0	16.0	-1.05	15.7	13.5	2.23
Rafer Alston	75	75	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.13	15	8	7	15.4	15.7	-0.29	14.2	16.5	-2.29
Ryan Bowen	29	29	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	10	3	15.7	15.4	0.31	12.4	15.7	-3.31
Charles Hayes	31	31	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	14	-5	15.7	15.4	0.30	15.0	14.5	0.51
Juwan Howard	52	54	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.14	13	10	3	15.7	15.2	0.44	14.1	15.5	-1.40
Moochie Norris	20	21	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	15	-7	15.7	15.4	0.29	16.5	14.2	2.29
David Wesley	47	48	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	20	-17	16.1	14.9	1.17	13.9	15.5	-1.62
Yao Ming	56	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	17	-11	16.1	14.5	1.63	14.1	15.5	-1.43
Stromile Swift	38	38	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.14	9	14	-5	14.0	16.5	-2.50	16.8	13.3	3.44
Lonny Baxter	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	17.4	15.4	2.03	10.5	14.9	-4.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NYK 84, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 93, OKC 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%