NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Excitement	5.1 [785]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +7.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	1.8 [853]		LVP	Karl Malone (LAL): -16.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Madsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	15	53%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	24	54%	0.04	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Darrick Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	1	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Latrell Sprewell	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.02	-0.05	18	29%	-0.11	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.03	13	56%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	24	53%	0.13	4	-0.09	10	90%	0.05
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	54%	-0.01	1	-0.03	15	47%	-0.07
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.05	-0.04	18	31%	-0.12	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.8	28.2	19.7	35.1	3.4	31.7	149.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +28.4%

LAL +5.6%

LAL +26.2%

MIN -1.5%

MIN -8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	18.0	15.7	96.6	105.7	100.5
season	15.6	15.4		103.2	102.8
opponent	15.6	16.1		99.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	16.5	13.8	14.9	14.9
LAL	16.3	21.4	16.9	17.9	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	29	30	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.29	11	-18	29	14.4	15.2	-0.84	19.3	17.3	2.00
Michael Olowokandi	16	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-6	5	18.7	14.1	4.65	14.1	18.9	-4.73
Oliver Miller	6	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-1	-5	8.0	15.5	-7.45	23.2	17.7	5.53
Sam Cassell	10	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-5	3	16.1	14.8	1.31	12.8	18.7	-5.86
Fred Hoiberg	50	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-10	13	13.9	16.3	-2.32	19.2	16.3	2.90
Trenton Hassell	40	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-3	-1	16.0	14.0	1.98	18.9	17.2	1.65
Darrick Martin	28	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	1	-9	16.3	14.3	2.02	17.6	18.1	-0.52
Wally Szczerbiak	61	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-9	11	14.5	15.9	-1.42	18.3	17.2	1.16
Ervin Johnson	36	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	5	-17	14.4	15.3	-0.99	17.8	18.1	-0.26
Kevin Garnett	87	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	15.1	2.0	13.09	18.0	17.0	1.00
Latrell Sprewell	77	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	6	-19	14.8	16.0	-1.21	17.2	23.1	-5.84

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	77	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-2	11	17.4	22.2	-4.76	15.0	14.4	0.61
Devean George	44	45	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-6	19	17.4	18.6	-1.26	15.9	13.9	2.03
Karl Malone	78	79	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	5	-3	18.1	17.4	0.61	14.6	17.6	-2.91
Kobe Bryant	74	75	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	3	1	17.8	19.2	-1.37	14.5	17.4	-2.86
Kareem Rush	19	19	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	-5	17	20.3	17.4	2.91	15.1	14.9	0.14
Derek Fisher	51	50	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	5	-3	18.6	17.1	1.45	14.7	15.2	-0.52
Gary Payton	56	58	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.35	-6	13	-19	17.0	19.8	-2.82	15.0	14.8	0.17
Slava Medvedenko	18	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	5	-3	20.0	17.5	2.54	15.6	14.8	0.81
Luke Walton	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	6	-5	19.0	18.0	1.02	17.5	14.9	2.62
Rick Fox	17	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	11	-15	19.5	17.6	1.84	14.5	15.0	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.61,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NJN 89, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
HOU 77, MEM 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.79,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1	94.9%