NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	77		Excitement	4.7 [891]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (MEM): +13.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	86		Comeback	1.9 [897]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -12.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.04	11	72%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02
Charles Hayes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	7	44%	0.01	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Yao Ming	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	0.06	14	47%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Tracy McGrady	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	26	42%	-0.09	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.03	0.02	11	70%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	6	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	13	63%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	16	38%	-0.03	3	-0.04	10	60%	-0.05
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.6	24.6	16.4	27.5	2.8	30.1	126.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +36.2%

MEM +5.9%

HOU -4.7%

MEM +10.6%

MEM +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	17.3	15.6	89.5	98.9	104.4
season	16.1	17.1		99.9	103.5
opponent	15.7	16.1		100.0	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.3	17.9	19.1	14.1	16.0
MEM	18.9	15.6	16.1	18.6	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	9	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-3	-3	20.7	15.4	5.24	15.7	17.5	-1.72
Stromile Swift	24	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-7	5	16.3	15.8	0.49	18.1	17.0	1.12
Charles Hayes	26	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	0	-9	15.1	16.4	-1.29	15.9	17.9	-1.95
Tracy McGrady	72	74	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-12	15	15.5	18.5	-3.01	17.7	15.0	2.72
Luther Head	35	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	2	-13	17.1	15.2	1.97	14.9	19.0	-4.04
Juwan Howard	65	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-6	3	15.9	16.3	-0.41	17.2	17.7	-0.57
Rafer Alston	74	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	15.6	18.3	-2.74	17.2	18.2	-1.09
Yao Ming	55	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-6	3	16.6	14.8	1.78	18.6	15.2	3.41
David Wesley	70	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	15.5	18.1	-2.56	17.8	15.2	2.60

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	61	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-6	21	16.5	19.1	-2.57	16.5	14.8	1.68
Pau Gasol	82	81	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	2	5	17.5	15.0	2.45	15.7	20.2	-4.48
Chucky Atkins	68	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	3	3	17.9	15.1	2.89	15.7	16.8	-1.10
Shane Battier	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	5	-1	17.9	16.2	1.66	15.4	17.2	-1.78
Lorenzen Wright	45	47	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	8	-7	19.0	15.5	3.45	16.8	15.0	1.83
Bobby Jackson	32	32	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	0	9	16.0	18.1	-2.02	17.2	15.2	1.98
Jake Tsakalidis	25	23	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	4	1	16.8	17.5	-0.66	16.2	15.9	0.33
Eddie Jones	44	42	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	11	-13	17.0	17.6	-0.63	15.3	16.6	-1.26
Brian Cardinal	10	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	9	-9	14.9	17.6	-2.72	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Antonio Burks	10	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	9	-9	14.9	17.6	-2.72	15.3	16.1	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.79,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 80, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MEM 94, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MIN 85, LAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%