NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	80		Excitement	4.4 [957]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +12.0%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	1.8 [903]		LVP	Kirk Snyder (NOK): -10.4%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.04	12	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	8	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Arvydas Macijauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	7	44%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	0%	-0.08
Kirk Snyder	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.06	0.05	8	50%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	9	87%	0.14	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	16	54%	0.10	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.04	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	51%	0.00	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.5	30.4	16.7	26.6	1.8	30.2	135.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +28.9%

UTA +2.2%

UTA +18.2%

NOK -2.5%

UTA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	UTA	NBA	NOK	UTA	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.6	90.9	119.5	104.4
season	16.3	17.0		101.2	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		104.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	15.4	16.0	16.6	18.4	16.5
UTA	15.9	16.7	15.4	17.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-19	14	17.4	16.4	1.01	13.1	16.8	-3.75
Arvydas Macijauskas	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-19	14	17.4	16.4	1.01	13.1	16.8	-3.75
J.R. Smith	39	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.17	-8	-16	8	17.0	16.2	0.77	16.8	16.1	0.68
P.J. Brown	48	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-22	20	16.0	17.2	-1.29	17.2	15.2	2.05
Linton Johnson	51	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.29	-15	-9	-6	16.7	16.3	0.38	16.1	16.7	-0.56
Kirk Snyder	27	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-18	12	15.5	17.0	-1.48	17.8	15.6	2.19
Speedy Claxton	43	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	-10	-14	4	17.5	15.6	1.84	17.7	15.1	2.65
Marc Jackson	49	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.16	-17	-7	-10	16.4	16.7	-0.22	15.5	17.3	-1.82
Aaron Williams	45	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	-9	-6	16.2	16.9	-0.75	16.4	16.4	-0.03
Chris Paul	49	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-8	-8	16.2	17.0	-0.77	16.1	16.8	-0.68
Rasual Butler	65	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.09	-21	-3	-18	16.7	16.2	0.44	16.1	17.2	-1.15

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	65	64	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.19	28	-4	32	15.9	17.8	-1.88	16.1	17.7	-1.54
Matt Harpring	59	61	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.14	23	1	22	15.8	17.6	-1.83	16.5	16.7	-0.23
Andrei Kirilenko	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	4	16	16.5	15.8	0.75	16.2	17.8	-1.59
Deron Williams	63	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	7	10	16.6	15.8	0.74	16.5	16.7	-0.22
Mehmet Okur	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	9	6	16.5	16.1	0.40	16.8	16.1	0.66
Jarron Collins	28	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	18	-12	18.8	15.2	3.57	17.2	16.2	1.04
Keith McLeod	24	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.14	7	17	-10	15.8	16.6	-0.74	16.7	16.5	0.22
Kris Humphries	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	12.7	16.7	-3.97	18.2	16.4	1.87
Greg Ostertag	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	15.0	16.5	-1.45	15.0	16.6	-1.64
CJ Miles	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	12.7	16.7	-3.97	16.6	16.5	0.03
Milt Palacio	16	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	26	-28	15.9	16.5	-0.53	15.6	16.8	-1.11
Devin Brown	33	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.17	2	22	-20	17.7	15.5	2.19	17.5	16.0	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, NOH 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
HOU 77, MEM 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.79,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1	95.3%
MEM 94, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.71,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%