inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 84 Excitement4.2 [959] MVPMorris Peterson (NOH): +14.2%
New Orleans Hornets 102 Comeback1.8 [672] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -11.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brent Barry0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.150.000.105108%0.0500.00367%-0.01
Fabricio Oberto0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damon Stoudamire0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.010.02660%0.021-0.03333%-0.03
Tim Duncan-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.06-0.030.031162%0.062-0.07786%0.02
Jacque Vaughn-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Michael Finley-0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.04729%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.021054%0.075-0.114100%0.02
Ime Udoka-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.00939%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.01725%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Tony Parker-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.020.011439%-0.063-0.0600%0.00

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Morris Peterson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.030.015100%0.1400.00250%-0.00
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.20-0.000.061383%0.171-0.034100%0.02
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.140.000.062062%0.101-0.02887%0.01
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.00283%0.0400.00250%-0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hilton Armstrong00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julian Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02743%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00250%-0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.01617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
David West0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.13-0.02-0.041136%-0.044-0.066100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.34.432.117.827.43.530.6143.1
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +18.8%
NOH +8.3%
NOH +5.0%
NOH +18.3%
SAS -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASNOHNBASASNOHNBA
this game16.715.715.494.4114.6105.7
season16.515.9104.7109.6
opponent15.715.3104.0100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.016.515.717.616.7
NOH15.013.516.318.415.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Horry18190.13-0.630.76-0.2212-304215.217.1-1.8916.515.51.07
Jacque Vaughn10110.02-0.520.55-0.156-243015.916.8-0.8718.515.33.26
Damon Stoudamire550.00-0.500.50-0.031-192016.816.70.1317.015.61.39
Brent Barry3233-0.02-0.480.47-0.020-181816.716.70.0215.715.70.07
Ime Udoka4444-0.05-0.450.390.06-4-141017.515.91.5916.315.11.25
Fabricio Oberto2525-0.17-0.330.17-0.08-3-151216.516.7-0.2717.215.12.16
Manu Ginobili5051-0.19-0.310.120.04-8-10217.116.10.9715.815.60.23
Kurt Thomas3840-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-141015.217.8-2.5515.615.7-0.11
Michael Finley3431-0.25-0.25-0.010.13-13-5-817.116.40.7713.217.0-3.87
Bruce Bowen5351-0.530.03-0.560.03-191-2016.716.7-0.0315.316.2-0.92
Tony Parker6969-0.560.06-0.630.20-268-3416.616.9-0.2915.615.9-0.28
Tim Duncan6766-0.680.18-0.860.26-3214-4617.115.51.6215.316.7-1.30

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyson Chandler49510.73-0.230.96-0.3035-175215.915.40.5217.515.52.05
Peja Stojakovic74750.65-0.150.80-0.2932-144615.118.3-3.1817.213.83.43
Chris Paul77760.57-0.070.63-0.1123-52815.615.9-0.2716.617.4-0.83
Morris Peterson42440.51-0.010.52-0.2526-83416.415.11.2717.116.20.91
David West76750.370.130.23-0.041441015.914.31.6116.119.6-3.44
Jannero Pargo39380.020.48-0.470.22-725-3215.216.1-0.9016.117.1-0.95
Mike James440.000.50-0.500.09-321-2416.515.60.8513.516.8-3.32
Ryan Bowen440.000.50-0.500.09-321-2416.515.60.8513.516.8-3.32
Hilton Armstrong440.000.50-0.500.09-321-2416.515.60.8513.516.8-3.32
Julian Wright2324-0.090.59-0.680.09-624-3013.716.4-2.6216.716.60.10
Bonzi Wells2524-0.110.61-0.720.13-826-3416.215.50.7217.516.41.19
Melvin Ely2826-0.140.64-0.780.15-1028-3816.615.21.4015.917.0-1.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 101, PHX 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
MIL 77, MIN 950.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
MIA 90, BKN 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%