inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 90 Excitement4.0 [1020] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +13.5%
Brooklyn Nets 104 Comeback1.5 [572] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -10.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.140,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.130.160.030.061570%0.182-0.051090%0.01
Ray Allen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02650%0.0000.00683%0.02
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.120.000.123150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Toney Douglas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Norris Cole-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.000100%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Dwyane Wade-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.020.001850%0.032-0.05450%-0.01
Chris Bosh-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.010.041148%-0.0300.00367%-0.01
Shane Battier-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.100,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.050.01350%-0.052-0.0500%0.00

Brooklyn Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.150.000.051095%0.152-0.0500%0.00
Mirza Teletovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.02-0.02786%0.143-0.0500%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.04-0.00960%0.0900.00250%-0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01683%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.00-0.011058%0.071-0.03683%0.01
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00175%0.0200.00250%0.00
Jorge Gutierrez00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Alan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.04667%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.02-0.010.061061%0.023-0.07367%0.01
Deron Williams0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011137%-0.042-0.032100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.33.532.418.625.43.536.6150.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BKN +50.9%
MIA -10.0%
BKN +21.9%
MIA -8.0%
MIA -4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABKNNBAMIABKNNBA
this game17.016.815.1107.1120.9105.2
season15.615.7109.7105.1
opponent15.515.8106.7105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.318.718.416.017.0
BKN14.117.315.920.816.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Norris Cole29310.02-0.520.54-0.073-172016.317.4-1.1317.216.70.51
Udonis Haslem120.00-0.500.50-0.062-161817.017.0-0.0515.516.9-1.37
Toney Douglas120.00-0.500.50-0.062-161817.017.0-0.0515.516.9-1.37
Michael Beasley120.00-0.500.50-0.062-161817.017.0-0.0515.516.9-1.37
James Jones1414-0.01-0.490.49-0.124-182215.617.3-1.7720.616.14.46
Ray Allen4949-0.14-0.360.220.06-7-7016.118.4-2.2717.615.81.80
Rashard Lewis2120-0.21-0.290.09-0.06-5-9416.117.3-1.2114.017.7-3.63
Chris Bosh6464-0.23-0.270.03-0.09-5-9417.615.22.4317.913.74.24
Chris Andersen2728-0.25-0.250.010.14-13-1-1216.317.4-1.0514.717.9-3.15
Dwyane Wade6063-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.02-10-4-617.815.12.6917.614.72.98
Shane Battier3636-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.02-11-3-818.016.41.6215.817.6-1.73
LeBron James7072-0.510.01-0.53-0.10-140-1416.718.9-2.1716.916.60.32
Mario Chalmers4747-0.520.02-0.530.01-184-2217.816.11.7315.518.5-3.02

Brooklyn Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Johnson62630.54-0.040.590.0517-32015.719.7-3.9816.917.5-0.57
Andray Blatche35360.53-0.030.550.0915-11615.817.5-1.7516.417.5-1.10
Deron Williams70700.490.010.49-0.0318-42216.518.4-1.9717.614.43.23
Shaun Livingston55530.300.200.110.1659-416.916.70.1516.817.5-0.74
Mirza Teletovic34310.290.210.090.1268-218.515.72.7517.716.71.00
Paul Pierce52530.210.29-0.09-0.0386215.718.5-2.7516.717.7-1.00
Andrei Kirilenko32300.130.37-0.25-0.17104619.015.53.4917.916.61.33
Alan Anderson33310.110.39-0.27-0.00410-617.016.70.3115.717.8-2.07
Kevin Garnett41400.020.48-0.460.05-115-1617.516.21.3417.716.51.20
Jorge Gutierrez210.000.50-0.500.06-216-1815.516.9-1.3717.017.0-0.05
Mason Plumlee42-0.040.54-0.590.13-620-2620.016.73.3213.517.1-3.63
Marcus Thornton1010-0.090.59-0.680.03-418-2218.116.71.4317.617.00.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.74,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 84, NOH 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
SAC 85, LAC 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
SEA 89, SAS 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%