NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	85		Excitement	4.9 [820]		MVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): +8.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	111		Comeback	1.6 [489]		LVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): -14.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	69%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	25%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Justin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	62%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	8	42%	0.03	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Brad Miller	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	5	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	11	41%	-0.05	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.05	14	50%	-0.02	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	12	33%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	17	51%	0.05	0	0.00	11	82%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	12	65%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	13	71%	0.09	4	-0.09	2	100%	-0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guillermo Diaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	13	70%	0.17	6	-0.18	4	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.06	6	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.0	29.1	15.8	32.3	2.5	33.6	139.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +6.7%

LAC +11.9%

LAC +11.3%

LAC +17.1%

LAC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.4	88.5	114.4	105.7
season	14.9	15.6		105.6	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.8	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.3	15.7	16.4	13.5	14.9
LAC	13.4	16.3	14.9	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Williams	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-26	26	12.1	15.3	-3.16	16.7	14.7	1.99
Quincy Douby	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-26	26	12.1	15.3	-3.16	16.7	14.7	1.99
Spencer Hawes	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-20	14	12.3	15.3	-2.96	15.4	14.8	0.54
Dahntay Jones	13	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-24	22	12.5	15.3	-2.76	17.5	14.5	3.02
John Salmons	42	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.33	-15	-11	-4	15.5	14.5	1.06	15.0	14.8	0.19
Francisco Garcia	44	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-23	20	15.5	14.4	1.06	15.1	14.7	0.40
Kevin Martin	63	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.26	-17	-9	-8	15.3	14.2	1.04	14.6	15.5	-0.81
Mike Bibby	72	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.23	-17	-9	-8	14.7	15.5	-0.82	14.8	15.4	-0.61
Beno Udrih	30	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.25	-18	-8	-10	15.1	14.8	0.25	15.3	14.7	0.55
Mikki Moore	48	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-11	-4	15.8	14.1	1.69	13.7	16.1	-2.31
Brad Miller	70	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.00	-15	-11	-4	14.9	15.0	-0.05	15.2	14.3	0.89
Metta World Peace	66	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.08	-22	-4	-18	15.2	14.4	0.77	14.3	16.2	-1.83

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	77	76	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.31	29	-3	32	14.7	15.6	-0.86	14.9	15.1	-0.22
Sam Cassell	56	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	11	4	15.1	14.7	0.32	14.9	15.0	-0.08
Tim Thomas	45	46	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	8	10	13.9	15.8	-1.96	15.9	14.0	1.89
Corey Maggette	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.19	21	5	16	15.0	14.5	0.49	15.1	14.2	0.94
Quinton Ross	44	43	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	18	-10	14.8	15.0	-0.18	13.9	15.8	-1.85
Cuttino Mobley	54	54	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.35	18	8	10	14.7	15.2	-0.44	15.8	13.8	2.03
Al Thornton	62	60	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.30	15	11	4	15.4	14.1	1.35	14.6	15.5	-0.87
Brevin Knight	32	32	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.31	11	15	-4	14.1	15.3	-1.18	15.9	14.4	1.52
Dan Dickau	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	16.9	14.7	2.17	11.1	15.3	-4.15
Guillermo Diaz	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	16.9	14.7	2.17	11.1	15.3	-4.15
Josh Powell	19	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	31	-36	16.0	14.7	1.35	14.4	15.1	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIN 103, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
SEA 93, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%