NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	5.4 [719]		MVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): +11.4%
Houston Rockets	112		Comeback	1.8 [908]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -29.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Garrett	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	8	71%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Doug West	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01
James Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.01	0.05	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Reggie Jordan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	16	38%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	19	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.29	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.23,-0.25,-0.23,-0.26,-0.28,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.26	-0.07	-0.04	23	29%	-0.23	3	-0.06	9	56%	-0.05

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.02	25	62%	0.15	3	-0.04	13	100%	0.06
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	19	61%	0.06	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Sedale Threatt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	47%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	9	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	2.7	26.5	18.3	27.7	2.4	31.2	139.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +22.1%

HOU +28.1%

MIN -8.3%

HOU +5.5%

HOU +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.6	108.4	119.1	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		103.3	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.5		103.0	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	16.7	17.2	11.5	15.2
HOU	16.4	15.3	13.3	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	14	13	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.10	7	-16	23	14.6	15.3	-0.69	17.5	15.0	2.49
Cherokee Parks	28	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.24	10	-19	29	13.1	16.0	-2.96	17.1	14.5	2.63
Reggie Jordan	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-11	13	4.2	15.8	-11.57	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Stojko Vrankovic	5	4	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-7	5	20.2	14.9	5.32	11.2	15.5	-4.25
Sam Mitchell	51	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-10	11	13.7	16.9	-3.18	15.7	14.9	0.73
James Robinson	43	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-8	7	12.9	17.1	-4.20	15.5	15.1	0.41
Dean Garrett	47	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	2	-13	16.6	13.7	2.89	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Doug West	52	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-1	-7	17.1	12.9	4.20	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Tom Gugliotta	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	2	-13	16.3	12.1	4.19	14.9	16.3	-1.37
Kevin Garnett	80	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.09	-16	7	-23	15.3	14.1	1.22	15.2	16.0	-0.80
Stephon Marbury	81	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	7	-23	15.3	14.6	0.69	15.0	17.5	-2.49

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	76	78	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.12	16	-7	23	15.1	16.4	-1.39	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Hakeem Olajuwon	79	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-6	21	15.5	14.6	0.86	15.2	14.7	0.58
Matt Maloney	70	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-3	15	15.0	16.4	-1.42	14.5	17.2	-2.69
Kevin Willis	79	80	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-1	11	15.3	15.5	-0.18	15.1	15.3	-0.13
Eddie Johnson	51	54	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	8	-7	15.8	14.8	0.97	13.9	16.8	-2.90
Clyde Drexler	50	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	5	-1	15.1	15.5	-0.43	16.6	13.7	2.92
Sam Mack	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	10	-11	16.0	15.2	0.77	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Sedale Threatt	24	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	12	-15	16.4	15.0	1.42	17.2	14.5	2.69
Othella Harrington	30	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	18	-27	15.0	15.5	-0.42	15.4	15.0	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ORL 105, UTA 117	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
NYK 98, DET 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1	95.2%