NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	105		Excitement	4.8 [899]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +20.5%
Utah Jazz	117		Comeback	1.6 [745]		LVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): -20.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.00	0.05	9	81%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	75%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.01	0.08	9	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Malik Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	16	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Jason Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.06	0.01	15	38%	-0.06	5	-0.15	7	57%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.20	0.19	0.05	0.04	17	71%	0.27	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.21	0.03	0.07	13	81%	0.16	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.03	-0.04	16	54%	0.14	1	-0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	8	85%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.0	31.5	15.0	27.0	2.5	32.4	138.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +35.3%

UTA +7.6%

ORL -9.1%

UTA +12.4%

UTA +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.5	111.7	124.5	105.7
season	15.2	15.9		106.3	106.4
opponent	15.3	16.2		108.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.9	16.9	16.3	14.2	15.2
UTA	13.8	15.2	15.7	17.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	16	17	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.05	6	-18	24	19.4	14.4	5.05	18.6	14.7	3.97
Quentin Richardson	20	22	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-13	14	18.3	14.4	3.88	18.1	14.6	3.52
Malik Allen	18	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-9	6	16.4	15.0	1.42	16.7	15.1	1.60
Vince Carter	58	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-13	14	14.3	16.7	-2.35	14.6	16.5	-1.89
Jason Williams	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-7	2	15.6	15.1	0.43	18.0	14.4	3.55
Jameer Nelson	69	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-5	-2	15.1	15.6	-0.43	14.4	18.0	-3.55
Brandon Bass	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-3	-6	15.9	14.3	1.65	14.6	16.6	-2.03
JJ Redick	52	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-1	-10	15.2	15.3	-0.03	16.6	13.8	2.82
Rashard Lewis	78	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	3	-18	14.5	18.9	-4.45	14.6	18.8	-4.25
Dwight Howard	79	78	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.12	-18	6	-24	14.3	20.2	-5.90	14.7	18.6	-3.89

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	33	33	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-1	14	17.0	14.5	2.52	16.0	14.8	1.21
Paul Millsap	71	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-1	14	14.7	17.4	-2.70	14.9	16.4	-1.52
Andrei Kirilenko	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-1	14	14.5	18.2	-3.64	14.8	16.8	-2.05
Al Jefferson	84	84	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	2	8	14.9	19.3	-4.37	15.2	15.5	-0.29
Deron Williams	79	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	1	10	14.8	18.7	-3.97	15.1	15.8	-0.66
Francisco Elson	16	16	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	8	-4	18.9	14.7	4.20	16.2	15.1	1.14
Earl Watson	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	10	-8	16.7	14.9	1.85	16.8	14.7	2.11
CJ Miles	39	39	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	13	-14	17.6	13.9	3.71	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Gordon Hayward	37	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	13	-14	13.7	16.5	-2.83	14.9	15.5	-0.58
Jeremy Evans	13	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	16	-20	17.8	15.0	2.85	15.7	15.2	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
NOH 89, DAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
TOR 72, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%