inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 89 Excitement4.6 [925] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +18.0%
Dallas Mavericks 121 Comeback2.2 [984] LVPChris Paul (NOH): -12.6%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarrett Jack0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.11-0.01-0.021561%0.141-0.03683%0.01
Quincy Pondexter0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.02-0.03762%0.0900.00250%0.00
Emeka Okafor0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00375%0.0400.002100%0.01
Carl Landry0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.00856%0.0200.002100%0.01
Marco Belinelli0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.030.021164%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Jason Smith0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.02475%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Patrick Ewing Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Willie Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02743%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Gray-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.0330%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.00737%-0.033-0.092100%0.01
Chris Paul-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.03-0.00933%-0.053-0.083100%0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.100.05-0.032159%0.233-0.051292%0.04
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.020.016100%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.02674%0.082-0.037100%0.03
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.025100%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.013100%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.010.04286%0.0300.00367%-0.01
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.090.000.10492%-0.0110.00475%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.010.041150%-0.011-0.02475%0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.02945%-0.013-0.06450%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.734.118.729.13.529.6144.8
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +21.0%
DAL +6.8%
DAL +5.2%
DAL +11.9%
DAL +5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHDALNBANOHDALNBA
this game15.614.915.594.7127.4105.7
season16.215.7104.6108.5
opponent15.715.9103.8104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH14.213.418.016.915.6
DAL15.217.212.814.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick Ewing Jr.1112-0.00-0.500.500.32-11-211017.915.32.6414.814.9-0.08
Willie Green3738-0.07-0.430.350.13-7-251813.816.7-2.8615.214.70.46
DJ Mbenga2223-0.13-0.370.240.43-19-13-616.815.21.6213.215.4-2.23
Emeka Okafor3636-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-282415.915.40.4615.714.41.27
Carl Landry4747-0.17-0.330.170.13-10-221216.015.10.8514.615.2-0.65
Quincy Pondexter4344-0.18-0.320.140.50-23-9-1414.716.4-1.7015.314.50.81
Jarrett Jack5656-0.21-0.290.070.43-22-10-1215.315.9-0.6315.114.60.54
Aaron Gray3636-0.23-0.270.040.03-9-231414.516.2-1.7015.214.70.47
Jason Smith4041-0.24-0.260.030.32-19-13-615.215.8-0.5615.714.31.45
Chris Paul4949-0.28-0.22-0.050.05-11-211016.015.10.8914.914.90.03
Marco Belinelli4241-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.06-10-221216.315.01.2414.315.4-1.03
Trevor Ariza5152-0.510.01-0.51-0.07-15-17216.314.71.5314.215.7-1.53

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kidd57560.430.070.360.111121-1014.515.6-1.1216.214.61.67
Shawn Marion57570.430.070.360.111121-1014.515.6-1.1216.214.61.53
Dirk Nowitzki65640.400.100.31-0.2121111015.413.91.5214.717.5-2.78
Brendan Haywood51510.290.210.09-0.472662014.715.2-0.4715.515.7-0.23
Brian Cardinal35350.290.210.09-0.3221111013.715.6-1.9317.514.53.00
Jason Terry49480.230.27-0.05-0.01824-1615.014.80.1115.315.9-0.62
Tyson Chandler44430.210.29-0.090.03626-2015.214.70.4715.715.50.23
DeShawn Stevenson38370.170.33-0.16-0.241418-415.114.80.3316.015.30.66
Jose Juan Barea41400.130.37-0.25-0.5222101215.214.70.4714.316.5-2.18
Ian Mahinmi660.000.50-0.50-0.23824-1613.715.0-1.3219.215.33.84
Corey Brewer2424-0.010.51-0.52-0.421418-416.014.51.5213.716.2-2.51
Rodrigue Beaubois89-0.070.57-0.63-0.01-234-3617.614.72.9714.715.7-1.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 86, DEN 1130.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
POR 82, SEA 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
ORL 105, UTA 1170.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,195.4%