inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 86 Excitement4.4 [956] MVPLinas Kleiza (DEN): +29.1%
Denver Nuggets 113 Comeback3.4 [582] LVPSmush Parker (LAL): -14.2%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0.080,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.01-0.011954%0.111-0.03887%0.03
Kwame Brown0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.02-0.01765%0.071-0.00333%-0.04
Andrew Bynum0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.00664%0.0500.00250%0.00
Shammond Williams0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03533%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Jordan Farmar0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04525%0.0000.00250%0.00
Ronny Turiaf-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.03636%0.001-0.02250%-0.00
Maurice Evans-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.0330%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Luke Walton-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.001159%0.064-0.1100%0.00
Lamar Odom-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.001137%-0.053-0.08250%-0.01
Smush Parker-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.00822%-0.092-0.052100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.290.050.051394%0.2900.00580%-0.01
Steve Blake0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.020.02883%0.092-0.002100%0.01
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.012054%0.104-0.08875%0.01
Jamal Sampson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.011048%0.011-0.03333%-0.02
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.020.02467%0.003-0.06450%-0.01
Allen Iverson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.02-0.021539%-0.043-0.066100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.530.320.430.93.032.1147.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +28.5%
DEN +8.6%
DEN +2.4%
DEN +9.9%
DEN +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game16.714.015.491.5120.2104.5
season15.314.0106.3105.8
opponent15.314.9104.5107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL15.816.916.717.216.7
DEN16.211.912.615.514.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jordan Farmar32330.07-0.570.640.30-8-191117.016.50.4714.613.61.01
Sasha Vujacic2425-0.05-0.450.410.31-12-15316.616.7-0.0514.413.80.57
Ronny Turiaf4242-0.06-0.440.380.29-12-15317.016.40.6214.213.80.43
Maurice Evans2830-0.06-0.440.380.29-12-15316.216.9-0.6913.614.2-0.61
Andrew Bynum2825-0.18-0.320.140.11-10-17714.817.4-2.6215.113.61.55
Kwame Brown5858-0.22-0.280.070.08-10-17717.615.12.4614.413.31.09
Smush Parker4142-0.24-0.260.02-0.07-6-211516.017.2-1.1313.814.2-0.39
Luke Walton5857-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-11-16516.516.9-0.4214.113.80.32
Shammond Williams2120-0.33-0.17-0.170.05-13-14117.416.40.9912.614.3-1.69
Kobe Bryant7474-0.550.05-0.600.10-22-5-1716.816.10.6513.615.4-1.87
Lamar Odom6464-0.560.06-0.62-0.00-19-8-1116.616.8-0.2113.614.8-1.21

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Allen Iverson81800.61-0.110.71-0.2529-23113.616.2-2.5216.915.31.61
Carmelo Anthony73740.54-0.040.59-0.102251713.615.4-1.8116.417.7-1.39
Linas Kleiza70720.52-0.020.54-0.212522313.714.8-1.1517.115.21.87
Marcus Camby68660.410.090.32-0.031512313.714.6-0.8816.317.4-1.10
J.R. Smith13120.130.37-0.23-0.01522-1710.314.6-4.2618.416.42.01
Steve Blake60610.130.37-0.25-0.171017-715.211.93.3315.718.4-2.72
Nene43460.120.38-0.27-0.181017-714.613.51.1117.815.52.28
Eduardo Najera42390.040.46-0.41-0.19819-1113.114.7-1.6417.516.11.46
Jamal Sampson220.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2119.013.95.136.016.9-10.89
Reggie Evans660.000.50-0.50-0.06225-2318.013.74.3014.716.8-2.13
DerMarr Johnson660.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2118.013.74.3014.716.8-2.13
Yakhouba Diawara660.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2118.013.74.3014.716.8-2.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 89, DAL 1210.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
TOR 90, SAC 1130.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
OKC 94, POR 1140.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%