NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	90		Excitement	4.4 [917]		MVP	Beno Udrih (SAC): +13.9%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	3.1 [360]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (TOR): -13.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	12	71%	0.11	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sonny Weems	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	3	67%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Wright	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	20	33%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	8	33%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	14	80%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.00	11	62%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	15	51%	0.09	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	14	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	21%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	-0.00	0.07	5	100%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.04	10	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	27.0	15.5	28.1	2.5	32.6	130.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.7%

SAC +5.5%

SAC +11.8%

TOR -0.9%

TOR -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAC	NBA	TOR	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	15.3	92.8	116.5	106.0
season	15.0	15.2		109.6	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.5	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.8	15.3	13.9	12.5	14.3
SAC	16.9	16.7	13.2	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	31	31	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.20	-2	-21	19	14.3	14.3	0.05	16.6	14.8	1.73
Reggie Evans	22	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-22	21	14.3	14.3	-0.02	16.0	15.2	0.74
Marco Belinelli	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-21	19	12.3	14.4	-2.16	15.0	15.4	-0.43
Jose Calderon	40	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-20	17	12.3	15.7	-3.34	15.2	15.5	-0.32
Hedo Turkoglu	51	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-17	11	14.5	14.1	0.38	16.6	14.0	2.61
Antoine Wright	37	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	-10	-3	14.7	14.0	0.63	14.5	15.9	-1.48
Chris Bosh	75	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-8	-7	14.7	13.0	1.61	16.2	12.5	3.73
Amir Johnson	25	25	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	-9	-5	13.4	14.6	-1.20	12.2	16.5	-4.31
Andrea Bargnani	72	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-7	-9	14.2	14.5	-0.26	15.5	15.2	0.26
Jarrett Jack	61	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	-7	-9	15.2	12.7	2.49	15.7	14.8	0.91
DeMar DeRozan	64	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.16	-27	4	-31	14.5	13.9	0.53	14.2	17.7	-3.52

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	69	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	3	17	15.2	15.9	-0.74	14.9	12.5	2.39
Donte Greene	49	50	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	10	3	15.7	15.1	0.67	14.6	13.9	0.68
Carl Landry	69	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.17	22	1	21	15.0	16.4	-1.39	14.8	12.9	1.89
Spencer Hawes	44	45	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	13	-3	15.7	15.1	0.64	14.9	13.7	1.20
Tyreke Evans	72	72	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.16	19	4	15	15.6	14.7	0.92	14.8	12.7	2.11
Francisco Garcia	50	48	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.17	9	14	-5	15.4	15.4	-0.09	13.0	15.6	-2.55
Jason Thompson	51	51	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.28	12	11	1	15.2	15.6	-0.35	13.9	14.7	-0.82
Sean May	30	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	21	-19	16.1	15.1	1.01	12.6	15.0	-2.31
Omri Casspi	48	47	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.27	10	13	-3	15.1	15.7	-0.67	13.9	14.6	-0.68
Garrett Temple	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	25	-27	15.3	15.4	-0.07	6.7	14.5	-7.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 86, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
TOR 95, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	94.4%
NOH 89, DAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%