NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	82		Excitement	4.7 [874]		MVP	Ronald Murray (SEA): +19.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	100		Comeback	2.0 [768]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -14.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	19	62%	0.12	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	3	12%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	16	54%	0.04	6	-0.16	3	33%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	15	38%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.06	-0.06	14	67%	0.22	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	0.00	11	77%	0.13	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.03	18	51%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Richie Frahm	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	20	50%	-0.05	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.8	28.2	15.7	44.1	1.8	30.0	150.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +30.1%

SEA +2.7%

SEA +0.4%

SEA +12.7%

SEA +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	17.8	14.9	15.7	93.2	113.6	100.5
season	17.1	15.6		101.5	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.7		105.9	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.5	17.7	18.4	16.6	17.8
SEA	14.2	11.6	14.4	20.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	20.0	17.8	2.25	17.0	14.8	2.18
Matt Carroll	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	20.0	17.8	2.25	17.0	14.8	2.18
Dale Davis	55	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-20	22	17.5	18.4	-0.90	15.4	14.1	1.32
Tracy Murray	13	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	-12	6	17.5	17.9	-0.34	18.6	14.2	4.37
Vladimir Stepania	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-17	16	19.0	17.7	1.34	12.0	15.3	-3.31
Jeff McInnis	50	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-10	2	16.4	19.7	-3.36	15.9	13.5	2.41
Zach Randolph	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	-4	-10	18.6	15.3	3.28	13.7	18.6	-4.89
Damon Stoudamire	65	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.09	-16	-2	-14	18.4	16.3	2.01	15.6	12.8	2.80
Bonzi Wells	55	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-5	-8	18.7	16.4	2.30	12.9	18.1	-5.30
Qyntel Woods	40	40	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	1	-20	16.0	19.3	-3.31	14.5	15.2	-0.78
Rasheed Wallace	78	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.05	-19	1	-20	17.9	17.1	0.82	15.5	9.8	5.70

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	63	62	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.13	26	-8	34	15.5	13.4	2.04	17.8	18.0	-0.24
Vladimir Radmanovic	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	1	16	14.0	17.9	-3.95	18.4	16.0	2.37
Ronald Murray	72	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	-2	22	14.2	18.1	-3.87	18.5	14.3	4.21
Ansu Sesay	22	21	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	4	10	11.7	16.0	-4.23	18.3	17.7	0.60
Calvin Booth	47	45	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	9	0	15.4	14.3	1.18	17.9	17.8	0.08
Rashard Lewis	66	67	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	14	-10	16.0	11.7	4.23	17.7	18.3	-0.60
Jerome James	22	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.01	4	14	-10	13.6	15.3	-1.68	17.0	18.1	-1.18
Reggie Evans	39	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	12	-6	16.5	13.6	2.90	17.4	18.2	-0.83
Richie Frahm	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	16.5	14.9	1.64	21.0	17.8	3.24
Luke Ridnour	39	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	25	-32	15.2	14.7	0.51	16.4	18.9	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 83, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.76,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1	96.0%
NOH 89, DAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIN 107, DEN 122	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%