NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	83		Excitement	4.9 [821]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +11.8%
Boston Celtics	99		Comeback	1.8 [433]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -15.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Santiago	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	14	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.03	0.05	18	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Elie	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	16	41%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.05	5	-0.11	6	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	18	69%	0.19	4	-0.07	6	100%	-0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	20	60%	0.04	5	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	9%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	9	41%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.2	24.7	15.7	26.0	1.8	31.2	125.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +16.6%

BOS +0.5%

BOS +15.5%

BOS +15.3%

BOS +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	14.0	15.3	15.5	84.7	101.0	100.9
season	14.9	15.1		97.7	99.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		101.8	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.3	15.0	13.5	12.4	14.0
BOS	14.7	15.0	13.7	18.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	54	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-17	18	13.7	14.4	-0.71	16.1	14.4	1.69
Elliot Perry	35	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-12	8	15.3	13.3	1.94	14.3	15.9	-1.56
Jake Tsakalidis	39	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-11	6	14.2	13.9	0.23	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Shawn Marion	72	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-3	-10	14.4	13.0	1.36	15.1	16.2	-1.15
Rodney Rogers	33	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-12	8	13.4	14.4	-1.02	16.0	15.0	1.05
Daniel Santiago	38	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-4	-8	15.4	13.2	2.25	14.1	16.0	-1.92
Jason Kidd	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-4	-8	13.3	15.3	-1.94	15.9	14.3	1.56
Tony Delk	62	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	1	-18	13.4	15.2	-1.82	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Clifford Robinson	94	93	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-2	-12	14.0	14.7	-0.74	15.5	12.2	3.32

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	49	50	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	-3	22	15.6	15.1	0.41	15.1	13.0	2.08
Paul Pierce	90	89	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	3	10	15.6	12.7	2.83	13.5	19.3	-5.83
Bryant Stith	69	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.18	22	-6	28	14.6	17.0	-2.40	14.5	12.9	1.67
Eric Williams	55	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	1	14	15.6	15.0	0.58	13.4	14.8	-1.44
Mark Blount	46	46	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	9	-2	17.0	13.9	3.07	14.9	13.2	1.68
Antoine Walker	81	81	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	9	-2	15.3	15.6	-0.36	14.4	12.5	1.90
Vitaly Potapenko	43	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	14	-12	14.3	16.1	-1.82	14.0	14.1	-0.07
Randy Brown	49	48	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	19	-22	15.1	15.6	-0.41	13.0	15.1	-2.08
Chris Carr	8	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	18	-20	13.9	15.5	-1.60	12.3	14.2	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.76,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 82, SEA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAC 79, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NJN 96, NOH 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.96,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.5%