inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 101 Excitement4.8 [894] MVPJeff McInnis (CLE): +17.5%
Phoenix Suns 120 Comeback1.9 [870] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -22.1%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff McInnis0.180,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.200.000.031681%0.201-0.0300%0.00
Robert Traylor0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Lucious Harris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01658%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Snow0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.011100%0.0110.0000%0.00
Luke Jackson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Dajuan Wagner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01736%-0.0200.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.011756%0.033-0.08580%0.01
Ira Newble-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01425%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.001042%-0.0600.00683%-0.00
LeBron James-0.220,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.21-0.04-0.031936%-0.076-0.15475%-0.00

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Nash0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.020.021375%0.161-0.032100%0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.011658%0.102-0.05475%-0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.000.031566%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.020.021460%0.051-0.03250%-0.02
Jake Voskuhl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.01275%0.0110.004100%0.02
Bo Outlaw00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maciej Lampe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jackson Vroman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.060.000.071165%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Casey Jacobsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.000.04650%-0.0400.00475%-0.01
Shawn Marion0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.06-0.001142%-0.034-0.142100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.427.415.723.81.824.4118.6
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +22.0%
PHX +13.0%
PHX +15.0%
CLE -0.2%
PHX +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEPHXNBACLEPHXNBA
this game17.812.515.5106.3126.3104.0
season16.213.5104.6112.9
opponent16.015.3106.2103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.419.618.217.317.8
PHX11.813.111.314.012.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Jackson11110.00-0.500.500.000-191913.218.4-5.2510.712.7-2.00
Anderson Varejao11110.00-0.500.500.000-191913.218.4-5.2510.712.7-2.00
Eric Snow1717-0.03-0.470.440.11-5-14916.618.1-1.4313.512.31.26
Robert Traylor2222-0.07-0.420.350.01-3-161315.318.6-3.2612.312.5-0.23
DeSagana Diop87-0.11-0.390.290.07-6-13725.217.18.1111.112.6-1.46
Ira Newble3635-0.15-0.350.19-0.07-3-161317.018.3-1.2812.112.7-0.65
Dajuan Wagner2728-0.22-0.280.06-0.01-7-12516.518.4-1.8711.413.0-1.61
Drew Gooden6868-0.22-0.280.050.04-9-10118.216.91.2513.011.31.73
Lucious Harris2830-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.07-8-11320.016.93.1411.912.8-0.87
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6969-0.39-0.11-0.290.02-14-5-917.917.70.2312.711.90.79
Jeff McInnis7675-0.41-0.09-0.320.06-16-3-1318.415.72.6712.711.51.20
LeBron James8080-0.45-0.05-0.400.05-17-2-1518.017.10.9012.711.31.46

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amar'e Stoudemire60600.61-0.110.72-0.0322-32512.312.8-0.5318.516.71.84
Steve Nash59610.53-0.030.56-0.031901912.312.9-0.6318.416.71.69
Joe Johnson68680.52-0.020.540.081541112.512.6-0.0818.316.61.77
Shawn Marion68680.310.190.110.07811-312.313.0-0.7117.718.2-0.51
Quentin Richardson71710.270.230.04-0.05118312.811.51.2817.319.3-2.02
Casey Jacobsen51510.210.29-0.08-0.14127512.113.0-0.9017.917.80.09
Bo Outlaw10100.160.34-0.18-0.01613-712.112.5-0.4420.817.53.33
Maciej Lampe11110.000.50-0.500.00019-1910.712.7-2.0013.218.4-5.25
Jackson Vroman870.000.50-0.500.00019-1910.912.6-1.7712.118.3-6.13
Leandro Barbosa3634-0.030.53-0.56-0.03019-1912.912.30.6316.718.4-1.69
Jake Voskuhl3334-0.080.58-0.66-0.14217-1514.411.52.8618.717.31.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 77, MIN 950.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
ATL 73, PHX 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
SAS 84, NOH 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%