NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	77		Excitement	4.1 [975]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +13.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	1.8 [1058]		LVP	Rafer Alston (MIL): -10.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	20	52%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	83%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.02	-0.09	24	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Pope	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	35%	-0.06	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.03	-0.06	11	34%	-0.06	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.02	10	72%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.04	13	54%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.05	19	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	25.5	15.7	28.7	1.8	26.6	122.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +27.3%

MIN +13.0%

MIN +5.8%

MIN +4.7%

MIL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIN	NBA	MIL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.9	15.5	15.6	86.5	106.7	102.3
season	15.3	15.0		104.7	106.7
opponent	16.1	16.0		103.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.6	18.0	18.2	17.6	16.9
MIN	19.1	13.9	13.1	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Caffey	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	17.5	16.8	0.70	19.6	14.9	4.74
Mark Pope	47	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-21	24	15.5	18.4	-2.85	16.3	14.7	1.61
Ervin Johnson	35	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.19	-11	-7	-4	16.9	16.8	0.11	15.1	15.7	-0.62
Darvin Ham	39	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.15	-10	-8	-2	15.4	18.0	-2.56	12.7	17.7	-5.01
Rafer Alston	73	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-10	2	17.1	15.7	1.37	16.2	12.5	3.65
Joel Przybilla	38	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-13	8	17.2	16.6	0.63	16.6	14.7	1.86
Anthony Mason	63	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.15	-23	5	-28	17.4	15.6	1.84	15.1	16.3	-1.11
Michael Redd	79	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.02	-19	1	-20	17.0	15.8	1.21	15.1	19.0	-3.91
Tim Thomas	61	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	0	-18	17.4	15.6	1.80	15.6	15.3	0.24

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	65	66	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	1	16	15.8	14.6	1.18	17.4	15.3	2.06
Gary Trent	59	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	1	16	16.1	14.4	1.68	18.3	14.1	4.14
Kevin Garnett	60	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.20	21	-3	24	15.4	15.7	-0.26	17.1	16.5	0.52
Rasho Nesterovic	59	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	3	12	15.2	16.0	-0.73	17.0	16.5	0.57
Chauncey Billups	65	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	-1	20	15.7	15.0	0.72	17.4	15.3	2.06
William Avery	24	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	19	-20	15.0	15.7	-0.72	15.3	17.4	-2.06
Sam Mitchell	32	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	17	-16	15.2	15.6	-0.36	14.3	18.2	-3.92
Anthony Peeler	50	50	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	16	-14	14.6	16.6	-2.06	16.2	17.8	-1.63
Felipe Lopez	12	12	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	19	-20	15.9	15.4	0.50	17.2	16.8	0.34
Dean Garrett	11	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	14	-10	11.9	16.0	-4.08	15.8	17.0	-1.21
Loren Woods	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	22.0	14.8	7.16	14.6	17.1	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, PHX 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAC 109, MIN 123	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DEN 94, LAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%