inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 94 Excitement4.0 [978] MVPLorenzen Wright (LAC): +16.5%
Los Angeles Clippers 116 Comeback1.8 [1122] LVPKenny Smith (DEN): -12.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dale Ellis0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.200.010.051288%0.1600.002100%0.00
Jerome Allen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.00-0.05644%0.011-0.01450%0.00
Jimmy King-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00450%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Anthony Goldwire-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.010.02764%0.021-0.0300%0.00
George Zidek-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.01350%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Brooks Thompson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.03530%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.070,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.022044%-0.051-0.021080%0.00
Ervin Johnson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.0220%-0.033-0.0500%0.00
Tom Hammonds-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.01-0.011259%0.077-0.16367%0.00
Kenny Smith-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.01542%-0.014-0.112100%0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.150.030.011474%0.1600.003100%0.01
Rodney Rogers0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.170.020.041676%0.171-0.02250%-0.02
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00283%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Eric Piatkowski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.080.000.07679%0.0100.002100%0.00
Malik Sealy0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.04-0.010.021756%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.010100%0.0010.002100%0.00
Pooh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Richard Manning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Loy Vaught0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00853%0.011-0.02367%-0.00
Darrick Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.010.00642%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.01650%-0.032-0.04250%-0.00
Terry Dehere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.04617%-0.042-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.10.825.214.727.21.726.0127.7
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAC +28.5%
DEN -5.0%
LAC +2.9%
LAC +22.1%
LAC +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLACNBADENLACNBA
this game16.912.715.697.9117.2104.4
season15.215.8102.3102.9
opponent15.115.3105.8108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.519.218.514.916.9
LAC11.714.412.312.812.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brooks Thompson1717-0.02-0.480.460.12-5-171216.916.90.0810.613.2-2.51
Jimmy King2324-0.04-0.460.420.17-7-15814.817.5-2.7512.812.70.08
Jerome Allen3031-0.04-0.460.420.10-5-171215.117.7-2.5312.213.0-0.82
Anthony Goldwire3639-0.13-0.370.23-0.08-2-201816.217.3-1.0912.612.8-0.18
George Zidek1315-0.20-0.300.090.06-9-13418.416.61.7511.013.0-2.04
Tom Hammonds8689-0.37-0.13-0.230.10-16-6-1017.115.11.9812.316.3-3.97
Kenny Smith2727-0.38-0.12-0.260.12-17-5-1220.015.64.4013.612.41.24
Ervin Johnson8384-0.39-0.11-0.280.08-16-6-1016.817.5-0.6813.011.31.72
Antonio McDyess7981-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.01-14-8-616.717.6-0.8713.111.21.91
Dale Ellis8688-0.500.00-0.500.06-19-3-1617.114.82.3213.28.84.40

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Sealy69670.62-0.120.730.032021812.812.70.0917.515.42.14
Rodney Rogers76740.61-0.110.72-0.0924-22613.012.01.0017.415.22.20
Lorenzen Wright65640.54-0.040.58-0.1724-22613.611.12.4517.715.12.63
Brent Barry48460.340.160.17-0.161751212.612.8-0.2017.216.60.62
Loy Vaught60580.230.27-0.030.03715-812.613.0-0.4116.517.5-1.03
Darrick Martin34330.160.34-0.180.05418-1413.012.60.3717.716.41.30
Bo Outlaw49480.160.34-0.19-0.11913-413.611.91.6717.016.70.25
Eric Piatkowski22210.020.48-0.46-0.18715-812.212.9-0.6414.317.6-3.31
Lamond Murray13120.000.50-0.50-0.12418-148.913.3-4.3815.217.1-1.86
Pooh Richardson1090.000.50-0.50-0.09319-168.813.2-4.3714.417.1-2.68
Richard Manning760.000.50-0.500.00022-228.713.0-4.3213.517.1-3.60
Terry Dehere1516-0.140.64-0.770.07-729-3615.712.23.5416.217.0-0.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 85, SAS 1070.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
MIL 77, MIN 950.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
HOU 85, MEM 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.8%