NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	85		Excitement	4.2 [962]		MVP	Jason Williams (MEM): +24.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	102		Comeback	1.7 [450]		LVP	Moochie Norris (HOU): -18.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oscar Torres	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Walt Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.00
Dan Langhi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Terence Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.01	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Glen Rice	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	40%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.04	-0.02	10	20%	-0.09	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.05	-0.00	28	68%	0.28	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.01	0.07	13	69%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	8	33%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	23.5	16.6	31.3	1.8	30.1	128.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +30.8%

HOU -11.4%

MEM +8.3%

MEM +18.4%

MEM +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	16.8	14.4	15.6	92.4	109.7	102.3
season	16.8	15.7		100.9	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.2		103.8	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	17.3	17.8	15.5	16.8
MEM	14.2	14.0	14.1	15.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Morris	12	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-20	23	13.3	17.3	-3.95	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Dan Langhi	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	12.8	17.0	-4.20	6.0	14.9	-8.85
Walt Williams	46	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-17	17	16.4	17.1	-0.72	15.4	13.4	1.99
Eddie Griffin	31	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-13	9	16.0	17.2	-1.16	12.9	15.1	-2.13
Tierre Brown	31	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-13	9	15.7	17.3	-1.65	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Kevin Willis	41	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-6	-5	17.3	16.3	0.98	14.1	14.6	-0.53
Kelvin Cato	51	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-11	5	16.3	17.3	-0.98	14.6	14.1	0.53
Moochie Norris	61	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-4	-9	17.3	15.7	1.65	14.5	14.2	0.30
Kenny Thomas	61	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-4	-9	17.2	16.0	1.16	15.1	12.9	2.13
Oscar Torres	49	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	-3	-11	18.1	15.3	2.80	14.1	14.7	-0.58
Glen Rice	72	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.06	-20	3	-23	17.0	16.1	0.86	14.5	13.9	0.61

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	88	88	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	2	13	14.3	15.0	-0.66	16.6	20.5	-3.90
Lorenzen Wright	70	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	1	15	14.7	13.4	1.25	16.9	16.3	0.57
Jason Williams	72	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	4	9	14.4	14.4	-0.01	16.7	16.9	-0.16
Rodney Buford	75	73	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	9	-1	14.9	12.3	2.60	16.5	17.7	-1.22
Shane Battier	79	80	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	6	5	14.5	13.6	0.86	16.4	19.1	-2.66
Nick Anderson	23	21	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	8	1	13.7	14.6	-0.90	17.0	16.7	0.23
Brevin Knight	26	26	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	8	1	14.2	14.4	-0.26	19.3	15.8	3.48
Tony Massenburg	28	27	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	14	-11	13.7	14.7	-0.95	17.0	16.7	0.27
Will Solomon	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	7.5	14.7	-7.19	11.7	17.0	-5.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, LAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DEN 93, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,1	95.3%
UTA 80, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%