NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	80		Excitement	4.8 [891]		MVP	Bob Sura (HOU): +11.7%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	1.5 [941]		LVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): -17.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Snyder	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	13	44%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aleksandar Radojevic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.04	0.00	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	9	64%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Gordan Giricek	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.05	0.03	11	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kris Humphries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Raja Bell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	11	43%	-0.08	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	14	77%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	82%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Andre Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.03	4	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.05	18	52%	-0.03	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.03
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	4	10%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	27.6	15.6	27.4	2.5	28.5	131.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +24.0%

HOU +21.0%

HOU +5.4%

HOU +1.4%

UTA -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	17.6	14.0	15.5	88.9	107.6	104.0
season	16.7	16.0		102.3	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.1		100.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	18.0	18.0	18.9	17.6
HOU	12.8	16.2	12.0	15.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Lopez	10	10	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.08	7	-26	33	18.7	17.5	1.19	21.1	13.2	7.92
Mehmet Okur	51	48	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.12	-3	-16	13	18.3	16.8	1.54	16.0	11.9	4.05
Aleksandar Radojevic	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	15.5	17.7	-2.24	18.0	13.8	4.18
Gordan Giricek	61	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-15	11	17.8	17.4	0.39	14.7	12.9	1.72
Kirk Snyder	32	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-20	21	17.9	17.5	0.41	14.1	14.0	0.02
Kris Humphries	16	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-18	17	17.6	17.6	-0.02	12.3	14.4	-2.15
Carlos Arroyo	23	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-16	13	17.5	17.7	-0.22	13.8	14.1	-0.33
Raja Bell	36	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-7	-5	17.2	17.9	-0.70	13.8	14.2	-0.44
Carlos Boozer	65	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.20	-19	0	-19	18.0	16.8	1.11	14.6	12.6	1.98
Curtis Borchardt	40	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	-5	-9	16.5	18.6	-2.11	11.9	16.0	-4.05
Keith McLeod	57	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.18	-23	4	-27	17.5	17.8	-0.32	12.9	15.8	-2.94
Matt Harpring	55	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.18	-26	7	-33	17.7	17.6	0.03	13.1	15.6	-2.50

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	70	68	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.13	25	-6	31	13.3	16.3	-2.93	17.4	18.5	-1.07
David Wesley	77	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	5	9	13.2	18.5	-5.28	17.3	19.4	-2.11
Yao Ming	48	45	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-1	21	12.8	15.4	-2.57	17.4	17.8	-0.40
Bob Sura	78	76	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.13	19	0	19	14.2	13.4	0.73	18.0	15.5	2.54
Tracy McGrady	71	71	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	3	13	14.2	13.4	0.80	17.5	18.3	-0.78
Jon Barry	40	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	5	9	15.8	12.7	3.06	18.5	17.0	1.53
Dikembe Mutombo	39	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	18	-17	14.3	13.9	0.37	17.8	17.5	0.34
Ryan Bowen	4	4	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	21	-23	11.0	14.2	-3.18	16.2	17.7	-1.46
Andre Barrett	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	12.0	14.1	-2.11	14.3	17.8	-3.43
Reece Gaines	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	21	-23	9.0	14.3	-5.27	16.0	17.7	-1.72
Scott Padgett	8	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	23	-27	19.6	13.5	6.11	16.8	17.7	-0.95
Maurice Taylor	18	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	23	-27	17.9	13.1	4.78	19.0	17.3	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 93, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,1	95.4%
HOU 85, MEM 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
SAC 104, LAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%