NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	104		Excitement	4.8 [856]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +10.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	117		Comeback	1.8 [673]		LVP	Doug Christie (SAC): -8.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	53%	0.02	1	-0.01	10	100%	0.05
Mike Bibby	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	12	71%	0.05	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.04
Keon Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	8	65%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	20	52%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	64%	0.01	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.03	0.04	13	65%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.11	7	50%	0.07	3	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	31	49%	0.01	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	23	62%	0.05	5	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.8	32.2	20.3	28.6	3.7	34.2	149.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.9%

SAC -8.4%

LAL +13.8%

LAL +9.9%

LAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	12.2	16.9	15.5	104.0	119.4	101.6
season	14.0	15.4		104.4	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		102.8	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.7	12.3	13.0	11.8	12.2
LAL	19.7	15.6	15.3	17.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	7.0	12.2	-5.24	12.0	17.0	-5.00
Scot Pollard	16	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-9	5	11.0	12.4	-1.42	17.0	16.9	0.06
Hedo Turkoglu	13	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-7	1	13.6	12.0	1.64	16.3	17.0	-0.74
Vlade Divac	46	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-13	13	12.7	11.8	0.94	16.8	17.0	-0.20
Doug Christie	50	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-9	5	11.7	12.6	-0.90	16.2	17.7	-1.45
Bobby Jackson	44	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-6	-1	12.4	12.0	0.35	17.7	16.3	1.37
Peja Stojakovic	82	81	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-12	11	11.7	14.4	-2.68	17.3	15.1	2.29
Jim Jackson	43	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-5	-3	13.0	11.5	1.50	17.1	16.8	0.30
Keon Clark	38	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-1	-11	12.1	12.2	-0.09	17.3	16.7	0.64
Mike Bibby	76	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-2	-9	12.2	12.2	-0.08	16.7	17.7	-1.06
Chris Webber	91	89	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	-1	-11	12.2	11.9	0.33	16.8	18.7	-1.89

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	89	89	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-2	17	17.0	16.9	0.07	12.4	10.5	1.95
Derek Fisher	74	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	-6	25	16.4	18.6	-2.16	11.4	14.3	-2.91
Rick Fox	43	44	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	5	3	17.0	16.9	0.05	12.7	11.8	0.88
Kobe Bryant	92	95	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.20	3	10	-7	17.2	13.2	4.03	12.3	10.2	2.09
Mark Madsen	42	45	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	10	-7	15.5	18.0	-2.54	11.7	12.6	-0.83
Devean George	55	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	8	-3	16.9	17.0	-0.05	11.8	12.7	-0.88
Robert Horry	53	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	7	-1	17.9	15.8	2.04	11.7	12.7	-1.01
Kareem Rush	13	14	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	7	-1	16.3	17.0	-0.74	12.9	12.1	0.78
Slava Medvedenko	6	6	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	9	-5	16.0	17.0	-1.01	15.2	12.0	3.17
Jannero Pargo	23	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	17	-21	18.7	16.4	2.34	14.1	11.6	2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, SAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
OKC 100, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
UTA 80, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%