NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	4.8 [857]		MVP	DeMarre Carroll (ATL): +11.6%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	1.4 [1040]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -15.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	10	74%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.00	0.05	9	82%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Johnny O'Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	78%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.01	0.03	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	13	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Tyler Ennis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	14	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	6	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	6	29%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.05	13	74%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.02	10	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	18	47%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.07	6	79%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.02	0.03	8	44%	-0.04	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	28.3	16.4	26.9	1.8	33.0	132.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +15.5%

ATL +16.7%

ATL +6.9%

ATL +12.1%

MIL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	17.6	15.1	102.3	116.1	104.2
season	14.5	14.9		100.5	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.8	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.7	16.9	13.5	15.8	15.6
ATL	17.6	16.6	16.5	20.2	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny O'Bryant	21	21	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-17	21	15.1	15.8	-0.66	18.0	17.5	0.47
Tyler Ennis	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-11	9	20.7	15.4	5.36	18.0	17.6	0.37
Miles Plumlee	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-9	5	22.0	15.2	6.75	14.2	17.9	-3.73
Khris Middleton	65	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-14	15	15.4	16.4	-1.04	18.1	16.3	1.73
John Henson	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-9	5	16.5	15.1	1.37	17.5	17.7	-0.15
O.J. Mayo	24	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-7	1	15.9	15.5	0.33	16.5	18.1	-1.63
Zaza Pachulia	64	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-8	3	15.4	16.4	-1.03	18.2	16.0	2.20
Michael Carter-Williams	40	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-1	-11	15.3	15.9	-0.54	16.8	18.3	-1.52
Jerryd Bayless	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-8	3	15.9	15.2	0.62	17.9	17.2	0.67
Ersan Ilyasova	53	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	4	-21	15.2	16.4	-1.27	17.2	18.3	-1.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	69	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.10	-15	2	-17	15.4	16.6	-1.18	17.9	16.5	1.44

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-3	19	17.5	18.1	-0.66	15.3	16.6	-1.26
DeMarre Carroll	64	63	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.04	17	-4	21	17.3	18.6	-1.25	15.4	16.4	-1.03
Dennis Schroder	11	10	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	1	11	14.5	18.1	-3.55	18.6	15.2	3.35
Jeff Teague	53	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	5	3	18.0	17.1	0.82	15.3	16.2	-0.93
Pero Antic	28	28	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	6	1	16.4	18.2	-1.79	16.2	15.4	0.80
Kyle Korver	61	60	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	8	-3	18.1	16.7	1.41	15.6	15.8	-0.24
Paul Millsap	63	61	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	8	-3	18.1	16.4	1.69	15.3	16.4	-1.02
Kent Bazemore	27	27	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	6	1	16.1	18.3	-2.17	16.4	15.3	1.12
Thabo Sefolosha	22	22	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	16	-19	19.3	17.1	2.18	15.7	15.6	0.06
Mike Muscala	20	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	15	-17	18.4	17.4	1.05	16.8	15.3	1.58
Shelvin Mack	23	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.19	-7	20	-27	18.4	17.4	1.02	15.2	15.8	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.83,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 79, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
CHA 86, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAC 105, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%